TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070502
Played Sep 3Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119119113––
Michal Benes
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:20 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingArtur Daniel above · Michal Benes below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 73 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Michal Benes at 66.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Artur Daniel 0–6 Michal Benes Artur Daniel has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:20What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Benes
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Benes
Wrong
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1753 vs Benes 1856
Benes
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 40% vs Benes 80%
Benes
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 30% vs Benes 80%
Benes
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel +1 · Benes +4
Benes
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 2.50 / Benes 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Benes)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13070502
Daniel2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 78 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Benes1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDaniel0wins
AwayBenes6wins
1 of 6 to a deciderBenes leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanieln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBenes100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel0Benes6n = 6Benes took 6 of 6
S2Daniel2Benes4n = 6Benes took 4 of 6
S3Daniel1Benes5n = 6Benes took 5 of 6
S4Daniel1Benes2n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricDanielBenesD − BBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match26.838.2−11.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime780 / 1465 vs 107 / 21553.2%49.8%780 / 1465 vs 107 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesDaniel 2.50/Benes 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 13:25A. Daniel—610111172M. Benes—111278113
LDec 18 · 21:10A. Daniel—611391M. Benes—11811113
LMay 15 · 16:40A. Daniel—8190M. Benes—1111113
LMar 2 · 21:40A. Daniel—911451M. Benes—11511113
LFeb 22 · 13:25A. Daniel—8630M. Benes—1111113
LFeb 22 · 05:00A. Daniel—51170M. Benes—1113113
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133
M. Benes10
WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113WSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113LSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 13:25A. Daniel1.94610111172M. Benes1.74111278113WSep 3 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz2.151261161M. Benes1.60101113113WSep 3 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.709111111102M. Benes1.40117613123LSep 3 · 09:00J. Braun1.8115115113M. Benes1.861361161LAug 27 · 19:40J. Braun1.8311711113M. Benes1.83311671
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