TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071047
Played Sep 3Finished
Artur Daniel
Home
1.94
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111012117118711
Michal Benes
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
6111012117118711
H2H Artur Daniel 0–6 Michal Benes Artur Daniel has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Benes
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Daniel 1760 vs Benes 1827
Benes
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Daniel 20% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Daniel 40% vs Benes 80%
Benes
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Daniel -1 · Benes +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDaniel 1.94 / Benes 1.74
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Benes)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13071047
Daniel1.94
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 78 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Benes1.74
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDaniel0wins
AwayBenes6wins
1 of 6 to a deciderBenes leads 6–0, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanieln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBenes100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Daniel0Benes6n = 6Benes took 6 of 6
S2Daniel2Benes4n = 6Benes took 4 of 6
S3Daniel1Benes5n = 6Benes took 5 of 6
S4Daniel1Benes2n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricDanielBenesD − BBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match26.838.2−11.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanielBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime780 / 1464 vs 106 / 21453.3%49.5%780 / 1464 vs 106 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesDaniel 1.94/Benes 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 13:25A. Daniel—610111172M. Benes—111278113
LDec 18 · 21:10A. Daniel—611391M. Benes—11811113
LMay 15 · 16:40A. Daniel—8190M. Benes—1111113
LMar 2 · 21:40A. Daniel—911451M. Benes—11511113
LFeb 22 · 13:25A. Daniel—8630M. Benes—1111113
LFeb 22 · 05:00A. Daniel—51170M. Benes—1113113
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133
M. Benes10
WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Daniel2.5081111113M. Benes1.50119931WSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113LSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz2.151261161M. Benes1.60101113113WSep 3 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.709111111102M. Benes1.40117613123LSep 3 · 09:00J. Braun1.8115115113M. Benes1.861361161LAug 27 · 19:40J. Braun1.8311711113M. Benes1.83311671
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