TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070253
Played Sep 3Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111711611131012
Michal Benes
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:17 and never touched — 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
91111711611131012
H2H Karol Wisniewski 0–1 Michal Benes Karol Wisniewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1659 vs Benes 1803
Benes
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Benes 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Benes -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.70 / Benes 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Benes)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13070253
Wisniewski2.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 244 of 622
Down 0–1, comes back19% 74 of 381
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 221
Benes1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWisniewski0wins
AwayBenes1wins
Benes leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricWisniewskiBenesW − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.034.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime1014 / 2225 vs 103 / 21145.6%48.8%1014 / 2225 vs 103 / 211Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesWisniewski 2.70/Benes 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.7%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 6 · 11:45K. Wisniewski—61060M. Benes—1112113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.741111113K. Wisniewski1.956980
M. Benes10
WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Daniel2.5081111113M. Benes1.50119931WSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113LSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 13:25A. Daniel1.94610111172M. Benes1.74111278113WSep 3 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz2.151261161M. Benes1.60101113113LSep 3 · 09:00J. Braun1.8115115113M. Benes1.861361161LAug 27 · 19:40J. Braun1.8311711113M. Benes1.83311671
Upcoming Matches
K. Wisniewski
M. Benes
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