TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070611
Played Sep 3Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12106111113611––
Michal Benes
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
12106111113611––
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 1–1 Michal Benes Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1694 vs Benes 1810
Benes
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 30% vs Benes 70%
Benes
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -3 · Benes +1
Poliniewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 2.15 / Benes 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Benes)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13070611
Poliniewicz2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back22% 45 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 125
Benes1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePoliniewicz1wins
AwayBenes1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczBenesP − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match26.530.0−3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime1250 / 2107 vs 104 / 21259.3%49.1%1250 / 2107 vs 104 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesPoliniewicz 2.15/Benes 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 27 · 10:05G. Poliniewicz—1211113M. Benes—10780
LAug 6 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz—11350M. Benes—1311113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680LSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111WSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113
M. Benes10
WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Daniel2.5081111113M. Benes1.50119931WSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113LSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 13:25A. Daniel1.94610111172M. Benes1.74111278113WSep 3 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.709111111102M. Benes1.40117613123LSep 3 · 09:00J. Braun1.8115115113M. Benes1.861361161LAug 27 · 19:40J. Braun1.8311711113M. Benes1.83311671
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