TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065664
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Chmielowski
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311711––––
Michal Benes
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Chmielowski above · Michal Benes below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Benes at 64.7%
50 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chmielowski 1544 vs Benes 1852
Benes
Correct
both rated, 307 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chmielowski 20% vs Benes 80%
Benes
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chmielowski 40% vs Benes 70%
Benes
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chmielowski -4 · Benes +1
Chmielowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmielowski 4.00 / Benes 1.22
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Benes)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13065664
Chmielowski4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 72 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Benes1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmielowskiBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 716 vs 108 / 21748.6%49.8%348 / 716 vs 108 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesChmielowski 4.00/Benes 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Benes won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Chmielowski10
WSep 3 · 23:20J. Kuzmicz1.6161161182J. Chmielowski2.20118117113WSep 3 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311814992J. Chmielowski1.836111211113WSep 3 · 22:10J. Chmielowski2.50115911153M. Rutkowski1.50911115132WSep 3 · 21:00J. Glanowski2.7511631152J. Chmielowski1.40811118113WSep 3 · 20:30P. Klos1.1788111192J. Chmielowski4.50111147113LSep 3 · 18:05A. Daniel1.53613312113J. Chmielowski2.381111111022LSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:25J. Braun1.221111113J. Chmielowski4.004520LSep 3 · 24:10J. Chmielowski2.381611971J. Kuzmicz1.5318611113WSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132
M. Benes10
WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Daniel2.5081111113M. Benes1.50119931WSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113LSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 13:25A. Daniel1.94610111172M. Benes1.74111278113WSep 3 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz2.151261161M. Benes1.60101113113WSep 3 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.709111111102M. Benes1.40117613123LSep 3 · 09:00J. Braun1.8115115113M. Benes1.861361161LAug 27 · 19:40J. Braun1.8311711113M. Benes1.83311671
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