TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065663
Played Sep 3Finished
Patrik Klos
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811114117911
Jakub Chmielowski
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timePatrik Klos to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatrik Klos above · Jakub Chmielowski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Patrik Klos at 59.4%
91 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Klos 1–0 Jakub Chmielowski Jakub Chmielowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Klos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Klos 1765 vs Chmielowski 1540
Klos
Wrong
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klos 40% vs Chmielowski 0%
Klos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klos 50% vs Chmielowski 30%
Klos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klos -1 · Chmielowski -5
Chmielowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Klos) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chmielowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlos 1.17 / Chmielowski 4.50
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Klos)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13065663
Klos1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 104 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it75% 78 of 104
Chmielowski4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 72 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKlos1wins
AwayChmielowski0wins
Klos leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKlosChmielowskiK − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.034.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlosChmielowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 299 vs 348 / 71753.2%48.5%159 / 299 vs 348 / 717Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlosKlos 1.17/Chmielowski 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.2%
Klos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chmielowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 20 · 13:00P. Klos—11116113J. Chmielowski—891161
P. Klos10
LSep 3 · 18:50P. Klos1.535590A. Daniel2.381111113WSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670LSep 3 · 16:05P. Klos1.6772140J. Braun2.101111163LSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113WSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.35118641P. Klos1.5251111113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Braun2.108111011113P. Klos1.6311612762WSep 3 · 10:55P. Klos1.49811114113A. Daniel2.4511691192WSep 3 · 09:45P. Klos1.35791111113K. Wisniewski2.9011117252LAug 19 · 19:40J. Braun2.101111113P. Klos1.679680
J. Chmielowski10
WSep 3 · 23:20J. Kuzmicz1.6161161182J. Chmielowski2.20118117113WSep 3 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311814992J. Chmielowski1.836111211113WSep 3 · 22:10J. Chmielowski2.50115911153M. Rutkowski1.50911115132WSep 3 · 21:00J. Glanowski2.7511631152J. Chmielowski1.40811118113LSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113LSep 3 · 18:05A. Daniel1.53613312113J. Chmielowski2.381111111022LSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:25J. Braun1.221111113J. Chmielowski4.004520LSep 3 · 24:10J. Chmielowski2.381611971J. Kuzmicz1.5318611113WSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132
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