TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12459095
Played Aug 19Finished
Josef Braun
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Patrik Klos
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:38 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePatrik Klos to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Braun above · Patrik Klos below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Patrik Klos at 55.8%
56 points played in total.
H2H Josef Braun 11–13 Patrik Klos Josef Braun has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Klos
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Braun 1820 vs Klos 1793
Braun
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Braun 40% vs Klos 60%
Klos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Braun 50% vs Klos 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Braun -3 · Klos +2
Braun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Klos)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBraun 2.10 / Klos 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Klos)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12459095
Braun2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 87 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Klos1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 105 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it93% 57 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 79 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBraun4wins
AwayKlos6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKlos leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBraun60%3 of 5
AwayKlos80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Braun5Klos5n = 10split evenly
S2Braun5Klos5n = 10split evenly
S3Braun1Klos9n = 10Klos took 9 of 10
S4Braun7Klos2n = 9Braun took 7 of 9
S5Braun3Klos4n = 7Klos took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBraunKlosB − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.143.1−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBraunKlosBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 925 vs 155 / 29152.1%53.3%482 / 925 vs 155 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlosBraun 2.10/Klos 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Klos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Braun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 15:25J. Braun—11114113P. Klos—271191
LAug 6 · 19:40J. Braun—118861P. Klos—61111113
LJul 16 · 03:45J. Braun—71171172P. Klos—119115113
WJul 13 · 09:00J. Braun—911811113P. Klos—11711562
LJul 13 · 06:30J. Braun—11531192P. Klos—811118113
WJul 10 · 06:05J. Braun—119813113P. Klos—811111182
WJun 15 · 10:30J. Braun—118911113P. Klos—71111862
LJun 15 · 06:50J. Braun—111112822P. Klos—1371011113
LJun 15 · 04:25J. Braun—911511102P. Klos—117116123
LJun 9 · 09:55J. Braun—12780P. Klos—1411113
J. Braun10
LSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751LSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 12:05M. Nowalinski2.50115991J. Braun1.5021111113LSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.75911961J. Braun1.4011911113WSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741LSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192WSep 6 · 04:55J. Braun1.5011128113M. Nowalinski2.504101161WSep 6 · 03:45J. Braun2.0014911113S. Kolasa1.731211581
P. Klos10
LSep 3 · 20:30P. Klos1.1788111192J. Chmielowski4.50111147113LSep 3 · 18:50P. Klos1.535590A. Daniel2.381111113WSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670LSep 3 · 16:05P. Klos1.6772140J. Braun2.101111163LSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113WSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.35118641P. Klos1.5251111113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Braun2.108111011113P. Klos1.6311612762WSep 3 · 10:55P. Klos1.49811114113A. Daniel2.4511691192WSep 3 · 09:45P. Klos1.35791111113K. Wisniewski2.9011117252
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