TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070604
Played Sep 3Finished
Patrik Klos
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911111811118511
Michal Benes
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Klos above · Michal Benes below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 86 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Michal Benes at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Klos 10–7 Michal Benes Michal Benes has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Klos
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klos 1807 vs Benes 1837
Benes
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klos 60% vs Benes 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klos 60% vs Benes 80%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klos +1 · Benes +3
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlos 2.00 / Benes 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13070604
Klos2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 27 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Benes1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 31 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlos6wins
AwayBenes4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlos leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlos75%6 of 8
AwayBenesn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klos8Benes2n = 10Klos took 8 of 10
S2Klos5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S3Klos6Benes4n = 10Klos took 6 of 10
S4Klos3Benes3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlosBenesK − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.131.8+4.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlosBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 295 vs 106 / 21453.6%49.5%158 / 295 vs 106 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesKlos 2.00/Benes 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 20:30P. Klos—12116113M. Benes—1031181
LAug 6 · 15:25P. Klos—691181M. Benes—11118113
WAug 6 · 10:55P. Klos—1112311113M. Benes—31411752
LJun 15 · 09:00P. Klos—108111132M. Benes—121189113
LApr 8 · 15:35P. Klos—1175111M. Benes—41111133
WApr 8 · 04:40P. Klos—1111113M. Benes—7780
WMar 2 · 15:30P. Klos—1111113M. Benes—7850
WMar 2 · 07:15P. Klos—1111113M. Benes—1490
WDec 2 · 11:45P. Klos—1111113M. Benes—4660
LFeb 22 · 16:10P. Klos—127741M. Benes—101111113
P. Klos10
LSep 3 · 20:30P. Klos1.1788111192J. Chmielowski4.50111147113LSep 3 · 18:50P. Klos1.535590A. Daniel2.381111113WSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670LSep 3 · 16:05P. Klos1.6772140J. Braun2.101111163WSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.35118641P. Klos1.5251111113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Braun2.108111011113P. Klos1.6311612762WSep 3 · 10:55P. Klos1.49811114113A. Daniel2.4511691192WSep 3 · 09:45P. Klos1.35791111113K. Wisniewski2.9011117252LAug 19 · 19:40J. Braun2.101111113P. Klos1.679680
M. Benes10
WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Daniel2.5081111113M. Benes1.50119931LSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 13:25A. Daniel1.94610111172M. Benes1.74111278113WSep 3 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz2.151261161M. Benes1.60101113113WSep 3 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.709111111102M. Benes1.40117613123LSep 3 · 09:00J. Braun1.8115115113M. Benes1.861361161LAug 27 · 19:40J. Braun1.8311711113M. Benes1.83311671
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