TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13070491
Played Sep 3Finished
Patrik Klos
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511911––––
Artur Daniel
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timePatrik Klos to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatrik Klos above · Artur Daniel below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Patrik Klos at 64.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Klos 5–3 Artur Daniel Artur Daniel has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Klos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Klos
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klos 1779 vs Daniel 1774
Klos
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klos 40% vs Daniel 60%
Daniel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klos 60% vs Daniel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klos +1 · Daniel +3
Daniel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Klos) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlos 1.53 / Daniel 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Klos)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13070491
Klos1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 104 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it75% 78 of 104
Daniel2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 78 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back20% 26 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKlos5wins
AwayDaniel3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderKlos leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlos75%3 of 4
AwayDaniel50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klos4Daniel4n = 8split evenly
S2Klos5Daniel3n = 8Klos took 5 of 8
S3Klos4Daniel4n = 8split evenly
S4Klos4Daniel2n = 6Klos took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKlosDanielK − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match37.834.6+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlosDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 298 vs 782 / 146553.4%53.4%159 / 298 vs 782 / 1465Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlosKlos 1.53/Daniel 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Klos · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 3 · 10:55P. Klos—811114113A. Daniel—11691192
LAug 19 · 16:30P. Klos—114961A. Daniel—31111113
WAug 13 · 12:35P. Klos—11119113A. Daniel—571161
LJul 16 · 04:30P. Klos—81191152A. Daniel—118115113
WApr 11 · 13:40P. Klos—81111113A. Daniel—116851
WApr 11 · 04:00P. Klos—1113113A. Daniel—81160
WFeb 22 · 14:40P. Klos—11712113A. Daniel—3111051
LFeb 22 · 10:35P. Klos—31290A. Daniel—1114113
P. Klos10
LSep 3 · 20:30P. Klos1.1788111192J. Chmielowski4.50111147113WSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670LSep 3 · 16:05P. Klos1.6772140J. Braun2.101111163LSep 3 · 15:00P. Klos2.0091181152M. Benes1.73111118113WSep 3 · 14:15P. Klos1.7811116113M. Benes1.91451171WSep 3 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.35118641P. Klos1.5251111113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Braun2.108111011113P. Klos1.6311612762WSep 3 · 10:55P. Klos1.49811114113A. Daniel2.4511691192WSep 3 · 09:45P. Klos1.35791111113K. Wisniewski2.9011117252LAug 19 · 19:40J. Braun2.101111113P. Klos1.679680
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 3 · 10:55P. Klos1.49811114113A. Daniel2.4511691192
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