TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102795
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Benes
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113116––––
Jakub Krawczyk
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:18 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Benes to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Benes above · Jakub Krawczyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Michal Benes at 56.4%
51 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Benes 1870 vs Krawczyk 1348
Benes
Correct
both rated, 522 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benes 60% vs Krawczyk 20%
Benes
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benes 80% vs Krawczyk 30%
Benes
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benes -1 · Krawczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.22 / Krawczyk 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Benes)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13102795
Benes1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 42 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Krawczyk4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesKrawczykBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 217 vs 51 / 13651.6%37.5%112 / 217 vs 51 / 136Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.22/Krawczyk 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Benes won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Benes10
LSep 9 · 16:30M. Benes1.837118121J. Braun1.8311811143WSep 9 · 15:45M. Olbrycht5.005850M. Benes1.141111113WSep 9 · 14:35A. Daniel2.10101231142M. Benes1.601210117113WSep 9 · 13:25M. Benes1.411115113K. Wisniewski2.6061330LSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152WSep 9 · 10:55J. Braun1.856911101M. Benes1.8011115123WSep 9 · 09:20T. Spanik1.54116861M. Benes2.2561111113WSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 19:15J. Chmielowski4.007370M. Benes1.221111113WSep 3 · 17:20J. Braun2.10611471M. Benes1.6711511113
J. Krawczyk10
LSep 9 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.201111113J. Krawczyk4.337890LSep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel1.2811711113J. Krawczyk3.50611891WSep 9 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.6513890J. Krawczyk1.421511113LSep 9 · 13:05A. Lilien1.95811119113J. Krawczyk1.7511581162LSep 9 · 12:15J. Krawczyk2.1515811662P. Blocho1.601311611113WSep 9 · 10:35J. Krawczyk1.751111113A. Szoltysek1.959530LSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152WJun 18 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk2.5591181162J. Krawczyk1.43118119113LJun 18 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.9711119113J. Krawczyk1.72961161LJun 18 · 18:10J. Krawczyk1.28611127112J. Rolak3.301171011133
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.