TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102551
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Jakub Krawczyk
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Olbrycht to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Jakub Krawczyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Michal Olbrycht at 54.9%
57 points played in total.
H2H Michal Olbrycht 1–0 Jakub Krawczyk Jakub Krawczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Olbrycht
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Olbrycht 1656 vs Krawczyk 1353
Olbrycht
Correct
both rated, 303 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olbrycht 60% vs Krawczyk 40%
Olbrycht
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olbrycht 50% vs Krawczyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olbrycht -1 · Krawczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Olbrycht) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krawczyk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 1.20 / Krawczyk 4.33
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Olbrycht)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13102551
Olbrycht1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 98 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Krawczyk4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOlbrycht1wins
AwayKrawczyk0wins
Olbrycht leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOlbrychtKrawczykO − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.026.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtKrawczykBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 752 vs 51 / 13547.5%37.8%357 / 752 vs 51 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtOlbrycht 1.20/Krawczyk 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Olbrycht won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WDec 10 · 20:00M. Olbrycht—1112113J. Krawczyk—71090
M. Olbrycht10
LSep 9 · 17:40J. Chmielowski2.00611116113M. Olbrycht1.7311581162LSep 9 · 15:45M. Olbrycht5.005850M. Benes1.141111113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660LSep 2 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.73912111162J. Chmielowski2.00111498113
J. Krawczyk10
LSep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel1.2811711113J. Krawczyk3.50611891WSep 9 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.6513890J. Krawczyk1.421511113LSep 9 · 13:05A. Lilien1.95811119113J. Krawczyk1.7511581162LSep 9 · 12:15J. Krawczyk2.1515811662P. Blocho1.601311611113WSep 9 · 10:35J. Krawczyk1.751111113A. Szoltysek1.959530LSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152WJun 18 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk2.5591181162J. Krawczyk1.43118119113LJun 18 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.9711119113J. Krawczyk1.72961161LJun 18 · 18:10J. Krawczyk1.28611127112J. Rolak3.301171011133WJun 18 · 16:35J. Krawczyk1.4661113113B. Wisniewski2.501191131
Upcoming Matches
M. Olbrycht
Sep 9 · 18:30M. Olbrycht2.20A. Daniel1.61—Sep 9 · 20:05M. Olbrycht3.40J. Braun1.30—Sep 9 · 21:25M. Olbrycht2.38M. Rutkowski1.53—Sep 9 · 22:10M. Olbrycht1.83K. Kapik1.83—Sep 9 · 22:55M. Olbrycht1.73J. Chmielowski2.00—Sep 10 · 24:35M. Olbrycht2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 10 · 15:00M. Olbrycht—K. Staszczyk——Sep 10 · 16:05M. Olbrycht—K. Kolodziej——Sep 10 · 17:40M. Olbrycht—J. Mitas——Sep 10 · 18:50M. Olbrycht1.60K. Kapik2.20—
J. Krawczyk
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