TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107288
Played Sep 10Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111131131012––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
81111131131012––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 7–6 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:14What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Wisniewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1698 vs Wisniewski 1629
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 100% vs Wisniewski 40%
Kosmal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 80% vs Wisniewski 30%
Kosmal
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +5 · Wisniewski +1
Kosmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wisniewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.95 / Wisniewski 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wisniewski)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13107288
Kosmal1.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 59 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Wisniewski1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 136 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it90% 63 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 100 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal57.1%4 of 7
AwayWisniewski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal7Wisniewski3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S2Kosmal5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosmal4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Kosmal5Wisniewski2n = 7Kosmal took 5 of 7
S5Kosmal1Wisniewski3n = 4Wisniewski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalWisniewskiK − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.936.8+2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 654 vs 989 / 218854.7%45.2%358 / 654 vs 989 / 2188Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiKosmal 1.95/Wisniewski 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 10:30D. Kosmal—11661182K. Wisniewski—611117113
WAug 31 · 10:05D. Kosmal—1212133K. Wisniewski—1010110
WAug 28 · 11:45D. Kosmal—61111113K. Wisniewski—117891
LJul 14 · 10:55D. Kosmal—7770K. Wisniewski—1111113
LJun 23 · 11:20D. Kosmal—7111361K. Wisniewski—11915113
WMar 18 · 10:55D. Kosmal—1111113K. Wisniewski—4760
LFeb 6 · 15:45D. Kosmal—116101152K. Wisniewski—511128113
LFeb 5 · 13:20D. Kosmal—11711992K. Wisniewski—711911113
WOct 27 · 14:10D. Kosmal—11117113K. Wisniewski—451121
WSep 21 · 16:25D. Kosmal—119711123K. Wisniewski—311117102
D. Kosmal10
WSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870WSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.391111133K. Wisniewski2.6594110WSep 10 · 09:00F. Krcil2.00109141262K. Wisniewski1.7012111210113WSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123LSep 9 · 13:25M. Benes1.411115113K. Wisniewski2.6061330LSep 9 · 11:20T. Spanik1.2491111113K. Wisniewski3.45116891WSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:00A. Daniel1.5311116113K. Wisniewski2.23261161LSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650LSep 8 · 13:25A. Daniel1.5441111113K. Wisniewski2.22116761LSep 8 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.831111123K. Wisniewski1.8388100
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