TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106088
Played Sep 10Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.26
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Adam Linek
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
118117117––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 12–9 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (72%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-9 in 21
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1677 vs Linek 1449
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 80% vs Linek 60%
Kosmal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 60% vs Linek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +4 · Linek +2
Kosmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.26 / Linek 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kosmal)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13106088
Kosmal1.26
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 167 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it96% 90 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it83% 136 of 164
Linek3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 162 of 390
Down 0–1, comes back26% 57 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal7wins
AwayLinek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal83.3%5 of 6
AwayLinek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal6Linek4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Kosmal7Linek3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S3Kosmal7Linek3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S4Kosmal3Linek3n = 6split evenly
S5Kosmal2Linek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalLinekK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.835.3+5.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 652 vs 776 / 166954.6%46.5%356 / 652 vs 776 / 1669Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.26/Linek 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal—1111113A. Linek—8770
LJun 9 · 10:35D. Kosmal—8770A. Linek—1111113
WJun 8 · 12:15D. Kosmal—712117113A. Linek—111041142
WMay 21 · 16:35D. Kosmal—111111113A. Linek—913561
LMay 21 · 11:00D. Kosmal—1211117102A. Linek—147711123
WMay 12 · 14:40D. Kosmal—71111113A. Linek—118691
LMay 5 · 09:00D. Kosmal—119121192A. Linek—511149113
WMay 4 · 19:20D. Kosmal—111378113A. Linek—511111162
WMay 4 · 14:20D. Kosmal—1112113A. Linek—91080
WApr 20 · 15:00D. Kosmal—1211113A. Linek—10360
D. Kosmal10
WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870WSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780
A. Linek10
WSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113LSep 10 · 06:15A. Linek2.073790P. Blocho1.621111113WSep 10 · 04:20A. Linek1.831113116113R. Stapor1.8171571192WSep 10 · 03:40F. Krcil1.80111171152A. Linek1.86813115113LSep 8 · 08:35J. Glanowski1.901523911173A. Linek1.801325118152WSep 8 · 07:20A. Linek1.75101111143A. Myszewski1.981289121LSep 8 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.35911113113A. Linek1.5011681182LSep 8 · 04:55R. Stapor1.831151110113A. Linek1.8781171272WSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113LSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113
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