TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106672
Played Sep 10Finished
Frantisek Krcil
Home
2.28
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1134111181012511
Dawid Kosmal
Away
1.51
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Krcil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
1134111181012511
H2H Frantisek Krcil 1–6 Dawid Kosmal Frantisek Krcil has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:13What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (60%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1544 vs Kosmal 1677
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 40% vs Kosmal 100%
Kosmal
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 70% vs Kosmal 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -3 · Kosmal +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 2.28 / Kosmal 1.51
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kosmal)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13106672
Krcil2.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kosmal1.51
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 167 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it96% 90 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it83% 136 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrcil1wins
AwayKosmal6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKosmal leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrciln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKosmal85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krcil0Kosmal7n = 7Kosmal took 7 of 7
S2Krcil3Kosmal4n = 7Kosmal took 4 of 7
S3Krcil3Kosmal4n = 7Kosmal took 4 of 7
S4Krcil0Kosmal5n = 5Kosmal took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKrcilKosmalKrcil − KosmalBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match33.339.7−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 880 vs 356 / 65246.5%54.6%409 / 880 vs 356 / 652Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKrcil 2.28/Kosmal 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.4%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 10 · 05:55F. Krcil—10870D. Kosmal—1211113
LFeb 24 · 13:15F. Krcil—4119101D. Kosmal—11711123
LFeb 10 · 14:55F. Krcil—7780D. Kosmal—1111113
LOct 26 · 12:55F. Krcil—561181D. Kosmal—11118113
LAug 24 · 12:20F. Krcil—711751D. Kosmal—11611113
LAug 9 · 12:20F. Krcil—10121171D. Kosmal—12144113
WJul 19 · 13:10F. Krcil—9111110113D. Kosmal—11991282
F. Krcil10
LSep 10 · 11:45F. Krcil2.44101250G. Poliniewicz1.451214113LSep 10 · 09:00F. Krcil2.00109141262K. Wisniewski1.7012111210113LSep 10 · 08:05F. Krcil1.90811121092R. Stapor1.801111012113LSep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.0013135113F. Krcil1.7111111161LSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870LSep 10 · 04:40F. Krcil1.851151111P. Blocho1.8013115113LSep 10 · 03:40F. Krcil1.80111171152A. Linek1.86813115113WFeb 28 · 15:00A. Szoltysek4.5078100F. Krcil1.171111123WFeb 28 · 14:10B. Mleczko3.506250F. Krcil1.281111113WFeb 28 · 13:20F. Krcil1.251111113B. Kwodawski3.755920
D. Kosmal10
LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123WSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870WSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162
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