TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104909
Played Sep 10Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191113811117119
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:18 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1191113811117119
H2H Dawid Kosmal 2–7 Jakub Kuzmicz Dawid Kosmal has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Kuzmicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Kuzmicz
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1684 vs Kuzmicz 1783
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 100% vs Kuzmicz 60%
Kosmal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 60% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +5 · Kuzmicz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 2.60 / Kuzmicz 1.41
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13104909
Kosmal2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 59 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Kuzmicz1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 422 of 679
Up 2–0, closes it98% 172 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it81% 291 of 358
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKosmal2wins
AwayKuzmicz7wins
4 of 9 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 7–2, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmaln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKuzmicz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal2Kuzmicz7n = 9Kuzmicz took 7 of 9
S2Kosmal4Kuzmicz5n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S3Kosmal3Kuzmicz6n = 9Kuzmicz took 6 of 9
S4Kosmal1Kuzmicz5n = 6Kuzmicz took 5 of 6
S5Kosmal2Kuzmicz2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricKosmalKuzmiczKosmal − KuzmiczBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match37.941.8−3.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 653 vs 665 / 115254.7%57.7%357 / 653 vs 665 / 1152Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKosmal 2.60/Kuzmicz 1.41
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.2%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 10 · 07:20D. Kosmal—8690J. Kuzmicz—1111113
WAug 1 · 17:20D. Kosmal—911119113J. Kuzmicz—11881192
LJun 9 · 15:05D. Kosmal—119681J. Kuzmicz—71111113
LJun 8 · 18:15D. Kosmal—15890J. Kuzmicz—1711113
WMay 25 · 16:40D. Kosmal—811119113J. Kuzmicz—11691172
LMay 20 · 17:25D. Kosmal—117118112J. Kuzmicz—911811133
LMay 11 · 10:40D. Kosmal—911481J. Kuzmicz—11911113
LMar 18 · 13:45D. Kosmal—911111162J. Kuzmicz—116135113
LFeb 6 · 14:10D. Kosmal—9860J. Kuzmicz—1111113
D. Kosmal10
LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123WSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870WSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.7511714962J. Kuzmicz1.909111211113LSep 10 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz2.1814911113J. Kuzmicz1.561211891WSep 9 · 13:50T. Spanik1.3712121181J. Kuzmicz2.70101413113WSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152LSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:45J. Braun1.54128611113J. Kuzmicz2.25101111792WSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650WSep 8 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.197611111J. Kuzmicz1.5511116133LSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181
Upcoming Matches
D. Kosmal
J. Kuzmicz
Sep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.49K. Wisniewski2.34—Sep 10 · 14:35J. Kuzmicz1.59F. Krcil2.12—Sep 11 · 03:00J. Kuzmicz2.20M. Miastowski1.61—Sep 11 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—Sep 11 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz1.57G. Poliniewicz2.25—Sep 11 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz1.83K. Wloczko1.83—Sep 11 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz1.83K. Wloczko1.83—Sep 11 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.00K. Strowski1.73—Sep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz1.73K. Kolodziej2.00—Sep 11 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—
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