TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107338
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksymilian Miastowski
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1197111412911611
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:33 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1197111412911611
H2H Maksymilian Miastowski 6–7 Jakub Kuzmicz Maksymilian Miastowski has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:33What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Miastowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miastowski 1792 vs Kuzmicz 1754
Miastowski
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miastowski 80% vs Kuzmicz 60%
Miastowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miastowski 50% vs Kuzmicz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miastowski +4 · Kuzmicz -2
Miastowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Miastowski) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miastowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 1.75 / Kuzmicz 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Miastowski)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13107338
Miastowski1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 116 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 75 of 98
Kuzmicz1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 135 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back30% 39 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski5wins
AwayKuzmicz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKuzmicz62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski2Kuzmicz8n = 10Kuzmicz took 8 of 10
S2Miastowski6Kuzmicz4n = 10Miastowski took 6 of 10
S3Miastowski6Kuzmicz4n = 10Miastowski took 6 of 10
S4Miastowski5Kuzmicz3n = 8Miastowski took 5 of 8
S5Miastowski2Kuzmicz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiKuzmiczM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match42.638.4+4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 1106 vs 665 / 115451.7%57.6%572 / 1106 vs 665 / 1154Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiMiastowski 1.75/Kuzmicz 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 03:25M. Miastowski—1111113J. Kuzmicz—6570
LJun 3 · 19:25M. Miastowski—6990J. Kuzmicz—1111113
WJun 3 · 01:05M. Miastowski—11911113J. Kuzmicz—811461
LJun 2 · 22:40M. Miastowski—10911111J. Kuzmicz—12118133
LJun 2 · 20:35M. Miastowski—8117101J. Kuzmicz—11611123
WJun 1 · 19:45M. Miastowski—6111012113J. Kuzmicz—119121092
LMay 22 · 11:30M. Miastowski—1011811102J. Kuzmicz—129112123
WMay 22 · 03:05M. Miastowski—111111113J. Kuzmicz—136661
WApr 15 · 09:30M. Miastowski—13111111113J. Kuzmicz—15271332
LApr 6 · 10:00M. Miastowski—910121172J. Kuzmicz—1112108113
M. Miastowski10
WSep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.391111133K. Wisniewski2.6594110WSep 10 · 09:45G. Poliniewicz2.50871151M. Miastowski1.4611114113WSep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski2.5011811143G. Felkel1.502119121WSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00911671M. Miastowski1.7311611113LSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161LSep 10 · 04:40M. Miastowski1.8311211962D. Michna1.83711811113LSep 10 · 03:40M. Miastowski2.10881181M. Jadczyk1.6711112113WAug 30 · 14:35M. Nowalinski1.83511713112M. Miastowski1.831141111133LAug 30 · 13:20M. Miastowski2.3871120T. Spanik1.531113113LAug 30 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5711119113M. Miastowski2.25741191
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 10 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz2.1814911113J. Kuzmicz1.561211891LSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792WSep 9 · 13:50T. Spanik1.3712121181J. Kuzmicz2.70101413113WSep 9 · 13:00A. Daniel1.83112661J. Kuzmicz1.8661111113WSep 9 · 12:10J. Kuzmicz1.88971113113M. Benes1.82111191152LSep 9 · 10:30J. Kuzmicz1.571291081K. Wisniewski2.16101112113LSep 9 · 09:45J. Braun1.54128611113J. Kuzmicz2.25101111792WSep 8 · 14:15J. Kuzmicz1.571111113K. Wisniewski2.157650WSep 8 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.197611111J. Kuzmicz1.5511116133LSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 10 · 13:00M. Miastowski1.49F. Krcil2.32—Sep 10 · 13:50M. Miastowski1.31D. Kosmal3.00—Sep 11 · 03:00M. Miastowski1.61J. Kuzmicz2.20—Sep 11 · 04:10M. Miastowski1.44G. Poliniewicz2.63—Sep 11 · 05:40M. Miastowski1.83K. Wloczko1.83—Sep 11 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.00M. Jadczyk1.73—Sep 11 · 08:30M. Miastowski2.38M. Olejnik1.53—
J. Kuzmicz
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