TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102849
Played Sep 10Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711114511––
Maksymilian Miastowski
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
811711114511––
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 6–11 Maksymilian Miastowski Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:46What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Miastowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Miastowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1683 vs Miastowski 1757
Miastowski
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Miastowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 40% vs Miastowski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -2 · Miastowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Miastowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miastowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 2.50 / Miastowski 1.46
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Miastowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13102849
Poliniewicz2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 139 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back21% 43 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 128
Miastowski1.46
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 116 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 75 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz5wins
AwayMiastowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz100%3 of 3
AwayMiastowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz3Miastowski7n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S2Poliniewicz5Miastowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Poliniewicz3Miastowski7n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S4Poliniewicz5Miastowski1n = 6Poliniewicz took 5 of 6
S5Poliniewicz2Miastowski1n = 3Poliniewicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczMiastowskiP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.5−2.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczMiastowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1252 / 2111 vs 569 / 110359.3%51.6%1252 / 2111 vs 569 / 1103Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiPoliniewicz 2.50/Miastowski 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Miastowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz—911311123M. Miastowski—118119102
LAug 8 · 10:50G. Poliniewicz—1111100M. Miastowski—1313123
WAug 8 · 04:30G. Poliniewicz—1113113M. Miastowski—71140
WMar 23 · 08:35G. Poliniewicz—11116113M. Miastowski—691181
LMar 18 · 07:10G. Poliniewicz—611751M. Miastowski—11911113
LFeb 9 · 07:10G. Poliniewicz—781111102M. Miastowski—111199123
LOct 8 · 10:20G. Poliniewicz—55110M. Miastowski—1111133
WOct 8 · 07:10G. Poliniewicz—51112113M. Miastowski—1191041
LSep 30 · 04:15G. Poliniewicz—96100M. Miastowski—1111123
WSep 26 · 05:45G. Poliniewicz—1115411103M. Miastowski—51711662
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 10 · 11:45F. Krcil2.44101250G. Poliniewicz1.451214113WSep 10 · 10:55G. Poliniewicz2.1814911113J. Kuzmicz1.561211891LSep 8 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz2.0511611962M. Sklensky1.65911611113LSep 8 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz2.197611111J. Kuzmicz1.5511116133WSep 8 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz1.831111123K. Wisniewski1.8388100LSep 8 · 10:05K. Glazowski1.5711811113G. Poliniewicz2.16611991WSep 8 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz2.101151211113A. Daniel1.6041114842LSep 7 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.4411129113G. Poliniewicz2.507101151LSep 7 · 13:00K. Strowski1.6011115113G. Poliniewicz2.15971171WSep 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.1011138113K. Glazowski1.657111181
M. Miastowski10
WSep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.391111133K. Wisniewski2.6594110WSep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski2.5011811143G. Felkel1.502119121WSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00911671M. Miastowski1.7311611113LSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161LSep 10 · 04:40M. Miastowski1.8311211962D. Michna1.83711811113LSep 10 · 03:40M. Miastowski2.10881181M. Jadczyk1.6711112113WAug 30 · 14:35M. Nowalinski1.83511713112M. Miastowski1.831141111133LAug 30 · 13:20M. Miastowski2.3871120T. Spanik1.531113113LAug 30 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.5711119113M. Miastowski2.25741191LAug 30 · 10:50M. Gawlas3.001112113M. Miastowski1.3681090
Upcoming Matches
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M. Miastowski
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