TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071902
Played Sep 4Finished
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117117––––
Michal Minda
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArkadiusz Mugowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
116117117––––
H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 73–79 Michal Minda Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 73 of their 152 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:08What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-79 in 152
Minda
Wrong
gap of 6 in 152, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mugowski 1403 vs Minda 1488
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mugowski 40% vs Minda 60%
Minda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mugowski 40% vs Minda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mugowski -2 · Minda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMugowski 2.20 / Minda 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Minda)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13071902
Mugowski2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 211 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back26% 79 of 308
Down 0–2, comes back12% 21 of 170
Minda1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 288 of 477
Up 2–0, closes it97% 120 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it80% 214 of 268
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMugowski2wins
AwayMinda8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMugowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMinda87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mugowski2Minda8n = 10Minda took 8 of 10
S2Mugowski4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S3Mugowski5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S4Mugowski1Minda5n = 6Minda took 5 of 6
S5Mugowski1Minda3n = 4Minda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMugowskiMindaMugowski − MindaBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.739.7−6.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMugowskiMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime948 / 2069 vs 1020 / 200545.8%50.9%948 / 2069 vs 1020 / 2005Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMugowski 2.20/Minda 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mugowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 09:50A. Mugowski—7680M. Minda—1111113
LJun 26 · 10:35A. Mugowski—10650M. Minda—1211113
LJun 14 · 11:55A. Mugowski—10790M. Minda—1211113
WJun 11 · 17:20A. Mugowski—21112153M. Minda—11210131
LMay 31 · 07:10A. Mugowski—11511552M. Minda—711211113
LMay 16 · 05:45A. Mugowski—711591M. Minda—11811113
LMay 14 · 06:30A. Mugowski—10840M. Minda—1211113
LMay 13 · 12:40A. Mugowski—51111492M. Minda—119511113
WMay 5 · 04:30A. Mugowski—119117113M. Minda—51191172
LApr 21 · 04:10A. Mugowski—1011111072M. Minda—129912113
A. Mugowski10
WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113LSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113
Upcoming Matches
A. Mugowski
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M. Minda
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