TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085842
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Michalczyk
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811611––––
Damian Wasilewski
Away
1.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
311811611––––
H2H Jakub Michalczyk 2–1 Damian Wasilewski Damian Wasilewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:29What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Wasilewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalczyk 1396 vs Wasilewski 1384
Michalczyk
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalczyk 60% vs Wasilewski 40%
Michalczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalczyk 60% vs Wasilewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalczyk +3 · Wasilewski -2
Michalczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wasilewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasilewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalczyk 2.15 / Wasilewski 1.63
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wasilewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13085842
Michalczyk2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 27 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Wasilewski1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 42 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMichalczyk2wins
AwayWasilewski1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderMichalczyk leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalczyk1Wasilewski2n = 3Wasilewski took 2 of 3
S2Michalczyk2Wasilewski1n = 3Michalczyk took 2 of 3
S3Michalczyk1Wasilewski2n = 3Wasilewski took 2 of 3
S4Michalczyk2Wasilewski1n = 3Michalczyk took 2 of 3
S5Michalczyk2Wasilewski1n = 3Michalczyk took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMichalczykWasilewskiM − WBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.743.0+1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalczykWasilewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 342 vs 184 / 31252.6%59%180 / 342 vs 184 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiMichalczyk 2.15/Wasilewski 1.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wasilewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMar 14 · 15:00J. Michalczyk—811511113D. Wasilewski—11811392
LMar 3 · 15:40J. Michalczyk—91111892D. Wasilewski—118611113
WJan 31 · 15:15J. Michalczyk—114311113D. Wasilewski—61111842
J. Michalczyk10
LSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182LSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330WSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281LSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113WSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113
D. Wasilewski10
WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133LSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071WSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113LSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113WSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 13:55J. Rolak2.7011611832D. Wasilewski1.40711911113
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