TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085963
Played Sep 6Finished
Damian Wasilewski
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117611118811
Mateusz Zagajewski
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:49 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
511117611118811
H2H Damian Wasilewski 4–5 Mateusz Zagajewski Damian Wasilewski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Wasilewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasilewski 1398 vs Zagajewski 1386
Wasilewski
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasilewski 100% vs Zagajewski 40%
Wasilewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasilewski 60% vs Zagajewski 40%
Wasilewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasilewski +5 · Zagajewski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Wasilewski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasilewski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasilewski 1.52 / Zagajewski 2.30
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Wasilewski)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13085963
Wasilewski1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 42 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Zagajewski2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWasilewski4wins
AwayZagajewski5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderZagajewski leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasilewski75%3 of 4
AwayZagajewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasilewski4Zagajewski5n = 9Zagajewski took 5 of 9
S2Wasilewski5Zagajewski4n = 9Wasilewski took 5 of 9
S3Wasilewski5Zagajewski4n = 9Wasilewski took 5 of 9
S4Wasilewski4Zagajewski3n = 7Wasilewski took 4 of 7
S5Wasilewski1Zagajewski2n = 3Zagajewski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricWasilewskiZagajewskiW − ZBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match39.637.9+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasilewskiZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 313 vs 351 / 70959.4%49.5%186 / 313 vs 351 / 709Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiWasilewski 1.52/Zagajewski 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zagajewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski—51161182M. Zagajewski—117118113
LNov 28 · 12:25D. Wasilewski—41110101M. Zagajewski—11712123
WNov 28 · 07:55D. Wasilewski—1111143M. Zagajewski—96120
LNov 21 · 14:05D. Wasilewski—6101191M. Zagajewski—11129113
WNov 21 · 05:55D. Wasilewski—961111133M. Zagajewski—111194112
WNov 6 · 13:10D. Wasilewski—14118113M. Zagajewski—1261171
WNov 6 · 05:30D. Wasilewski—1111113M. Zagajewski—6610
LMay 1 · 13:30D. Wasilewski—119111182M. Zagajewski—711135113
LMay 1 · 08:10D. Wasilewski—591161M. Zagajewski—11116113
D. Wasilewski10
WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113WSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133LSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071WSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113WSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 13:55J. Rolak2.7011611832D. Wasilewski1.40711911113
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113LSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111WSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113LSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122LAug 30 · 14:35M. Zagajewski2.3571161172D. Solilo1.50119116113
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