TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086228
Played Sep 6Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111113117211––
Mateusz Zagajewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Zagajewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
7111113117211––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 30–32 Mateusz Zagajewski Igor Dabrowski has won 30 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zagajewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-32 in 62
Zagajewski
Correct
gap of 2 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1401 vs Zagajewski 1384
Dabrowski
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 40% vs Zagajewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 40% vs Zagajewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski +1 · Zagajewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zagajewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.90 / Zagajewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zagajewski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13086228
Dabrowski1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 129 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back21% 37 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 88
Zagajewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski6wins
AwayZagajewski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDabrowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayZagajewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski6Zagajewski4n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10
S2Dabrowski6Zagajewski4n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10
S3Dabrowski3Zagajewski7n = 10Zagajewski took 7 of 10
S4Dabrowski6Zagajewski3n = 9Dabrowski took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiZagajewskiD − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.7+2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime822 / 1623 vs 351 / 71050.7%49.4%822 / 1623 vs 351 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZagajewskiDabrowski 1.90/Zagajewski 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zagajewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zagajewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 13:00I. Dabrowski—11117113M. Zagajewski—571181
WAug 30 · 06:50I. Dabrowski—111111113M. Zagajewski—781381
LJun 21 · 10:05I. Dabrowski—117571M. Zagajewski—61111113
WJun 21 · 06:50I. Dabrowski—11711113M. Zagajewski—611581
LMay 15 · 10:10I. Dabrowski—81111542M. Zagajewski—117711113
WMay 15 · 05:40I. Dabrowski—11115123M. Zagajewski—6511101
WMay 8 · 10:10I. Dabrowski—971111113M. Zagajewski—11114992
LMay 8 · 04:55I. Dabrowski—8119101M. Zagajewski—11411123
WMay 1 · 05:15I. Dabrowski—12119113M. Zagajewski—1071171
LMar 13 · 08:20I. Dabrowski—95110M. Zagajewski—1111133
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113WSep 6 · 04:00I. Dabrowski1.6614711113P. Staniszewski2.101211771LSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113LAug 30 · 13:50P. Staniszewski1.94117119113I. Dabrowski1.7461171162
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113LSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111LSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113WSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113LSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122LAug 30 · 14:35M. Zagajewski2.3571161172D. Solilo1.50119116113
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