TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085396
Played Sep 6Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412711117117––
Piotr Staniszewski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:18 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1412711117117––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 18–16 Piotr Staniszewski Piotr Staniszewski has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Dabrowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Dabrowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1391 vs Staniszewski 1410
Staniszewski
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 40% vs Staniszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 40% vs Staniszewski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -2 · Staniszewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dabrowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.66 / Staniszewski 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dabrowski)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13085396
Dabrowski1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 213 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it98% 104 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it74% 165 of 223
Staniszewski2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 64 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski5wins
AwayStaniszewski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayStaniszewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski6Staniszewski4n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10
S2Dabrowski7Staniszewski3n = 10Dabrowski took 7 of 10
S3Dabrowski5Staniszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Dabrowski4Staniszewski4n = 8split evenly
S5Dabrowski1Staniszewski3n = 4Staniszewski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiStaniszewskiD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.9+0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiStaniszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime820 / 1620 vs 402 / 86450.6%46.5%820 / 1620 vs 402 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.66/Staniszewski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dabrowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:30I. Dabrowski—101161172P. Staniszewski—128117113
WApr 10 · 10:05I. Dabrowski—71211113P. Staniszewski—1110791
WApr 10 · 07:30I. Dabrowski—1111113P. Staniszewski—8980
WApr 10 · 05:00I. Dabrowski—1110711113P. Staniszewski—81211682
LMar 29 · 06:40I. Dabrowski—711791P. Staniszewski—11711113
WMar 13 · 14:00I. Dabrowski—11119113P. Staniszewski—761191
WFeb 20 · 12:45I. Dabrowski—1112113P. Staniszewski—71090
LFeb 8 · 15:15I. Dabrowski—11711682P. Staniszewski—711911113
LFeb 8 · 09:15I. Dabrowski—711871P. Staniszewski—11811113
LJan 25 · 11:30I. Dabrowski—126111192P. Staniszewski—1011913113
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123LSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113LSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113LAug 30 · 13:50P. Staniszewski1.94117119113I. Dabrowski1.7461171162
P. Staniszewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281WSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111LSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113WSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071LSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113WSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122WAug 30 · 13:50P. Staniszewski1.94117119113I. Dabrowski1.7461171162
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