TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086364
Played Sep 6Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11711281112141012
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:08 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
11711281112141012
H2H Igor Dabrowski 7–2 Tomasz Pisarczyk Tomasz Pisarczyk has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Dabrowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Dabrowski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1388 vs Pisarczyk 1308
Dabrowski
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 40% vs Pisarczyk 20%
Dabrowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 40% vs Pisarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -1 · Pisarczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.37 / Pisarczyk 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Dabrowski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13086364
Dabrowski1.37
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 213 of 360
Up 2–0, closes it98% 103 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it75% 165 of 221
Pisarczyk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDabrowski7wins
AwayPisarczyk2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDabrowski leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayPisarczyk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski6Pisarczyk3n = 9Dabrowski took 6 of 9
S2Dabrowski8Pisarczyk1n = 9Dabrowski took 8 of 9
S3Dabrowski5Pisarczyk4n = 9Dabrowski took 5 of 9
S4Dabrowski5Pisarczyk1n = 6Dabrowski took 5 of 6
S5Dabrowski1Pisarczyk2n = 3Pisarczyk took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricDabrowskiPisarczykD − PBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match41.234.1+7.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiPisarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime822 / 1624 vs 145 / 35850.6%40.5%822 / 1624 vs 145 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.37/Pisarczyk 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pisarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski—11813113T. Pisarczyk—2111171
LMay 23 · 13:10I. Dabrowski—1111101172T. Pisarczyk—139129113
WMay 23 · 07:10I. Dabrowski—1112113T. Pisarczyk—51040
WMar 29 · 03:50I. Dabrowski—111110113T. Pisarczyk—941261
WNov 25 · 01:10I. Dabrowski—611911113T. Pisarczyk—11811462
WNov 24 · 22:45I. Dabrowski—1311113T. Pisarczyk—11590
WNov 21 · 10:25I. Dabrowski—71111113T. Pisarczyk—115481
LNov 21 · 07:55I. Dabrowski—111165112T. Pisarczyk—981111133
WSep 27 · 09:00I. Dabrowski—1211113T. Pisarczyk—10890
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113WSep 6 · 04:00I. Dabrowski1.6614711113P. Staniszewski2.101211771LSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113LAug 30 · 13:50P. Staniszewski1.94117119113I. Dabrowski1.7461171162
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski1.7012881192T. Pisarczyk1.951011114113
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