TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086236
Played Sep 6Finished
Piotr Staniszewski
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911611611––
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Away
1.82
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:09 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeTomasz Pisarczyk to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118911611611––
H2H Piotr Staniszewski 3–6 Tomasz Pisarczyk Piotr Staniszewski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (50%)
Pisarczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Pisarczyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniszewski 1406 vs Pisarczyk 1293
Staniszewski
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniszewski 60% vs Pisarczyk 20%
Staniszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniszewski 40% vs Pisarczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniszewski +1 · Pisarczyk -4
Pisarczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisarczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniszewski 1.85 / Pisarczyk 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pisarczyk)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13086236
Staniszewski1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 65 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Pisarczyk1.82
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 15 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStaniszewski3wins
AwayPisarczyk6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPisarczyk leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniszewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayPisarczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniszewski3Pisarczyk6n = 9Pisarczyk took 6 of 9
S2Staniszewski5Pisarczyk4n = 9Staniszewski took 5 of 9
S3Staniszewski4Pisarczyk5n = 9Pisarczyk took 5 of 9
S4Staniszewski3Pisarczyk4n = 7Pisarczyk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricStaniszewskiPisarczykS − PBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match34.837.4−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniszewskiPisarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime403 / 867 vs 145 / 35846.5%40.5%403 / 867 vs 145 / 358Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisarczykStaniszewski 1.85/Pisarczyk 1.82
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pisarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pisarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMar 29 · 11:50P. Staniszewski—611111072T. Pisarczyk—117512113
WMar 29 · 05:45P. Staniszewski—91113113T. Pisarczyk—1171171
WJan 4 · 09:10P. Staniszewski—11911113T. Pisarczyk—811361
LNov 2 · 08:20P. Staniszewski—41020T. Pisarczyk—1112113
LOct 19 · 06:30P. Staniszewski—4490T. Pisarczyk—1111113
LAug 31 · 10:35P. Staniszewski—10131051T. Pisarczyk—121112113
WAug 31 · 07:20P. Staniszewski—11611113T. Pisarczyk—511891
LJun 15 · 10:10P. Staniszewski—111141062T. Pisarczyk—271112113
LJun 15 · 05:40P. Staniszewski—911641T. Pisarczyk—11511113
P. Staniszewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281WSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111WSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071LSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113LSep 6 · 04:00I. Dabrowski1.6614711113P. Staniszewski2.101211771WSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122WAug 30 · 13:50P. Staniszewski1.94117119113I. Dabrowski1.7461171162
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123LSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240WAug 15 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski1.7012881192T. Pisarczyk1.951011114113
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