TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12438987
Played Aug 15Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210811811114911
Tomasz Pisarczyk
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:02 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeTomasz Pisarczyk to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1210811811114911
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 1–10 Tomasz Pisarczyk Dawid Poloszczanski has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Poloszczanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Pisarczyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1316 vs Pisarczyk 1316
Pisarczyk
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 60% vs Pisarczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 50% vs Pisarczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski +1 · Pisarczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poloszczanski) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 1.70 / Pisarczyk 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pisarczyk)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #12438987
Poloszczanski1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Pisarczyk1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 34 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski1wins
AwayPisarczyk9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPisarczyk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski25%1 of 4
AwayPisarczyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski4Pisarczyk6n = 10Pisarczyk took 6 of 10
S2Poloszczanski2Pisarczyk8n = 10Pisarczyk took 8 of 10
S3Poloszczanski1Pisarczyk9n = 10Pisarczyk took 9 of 10
S4Poloszczanski2Pisarczyk4n = 6Pisarczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiPisarczykPoloszczanski − PisarczykBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.840.5−8.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiPisarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 846 vs 155 / 38739.5%40.1%334 / 846 vs 155 / 387Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoloszczanskiPoloszczanski 1.70/Pisarczyk 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Poloszczanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pisarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 2 · 03:50D. Poloszczanski—1181981T. Pisarczyk—71121113
LFeb 21 · 14:55D. Poloszczanski—911791T. Pisarczyk—11811113
LFeb 21 · 09:35D. Poloszczanski—12961472T. Pisarczyk—10111112113
LFeb 8 · 11:35D. Poloszczanski—116981T. Pisarczyk—91111113
LJan 4 · 05:55D. Poloszczanski—5790T. Pisarczyk—1111113
WJul 12 · 09:50D. Poloszczanski—11814113T. Pisarczyk—8111291
LJul 5 · 09:00D. Poloszczanski—411861T. Pisarczyk—11811113
LJul 5 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski—7790T. Pisarczyk—1111113
LJun 15 · 11:50D. Poloszczanski—13650T. Pisarczyk—1511113
LMay 10 · 13:30D. Poloszczanski—7330T. Pisarczyk—1111113
D. Poloszczanski10
LSep 6 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.60101380J. Michalczyk1.411215113LSep 5 · 23:45K. Kufel1.601111113D. Poloszczanski2.103260LSep 5 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski2.9541013111B. Sulkowski1.35111211133LSep 5 · 21:55A. Lilien1.221112113D. Poloszczanski3.7041030WSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski2.47911110J. Michalczyk1.461113133LSep 5 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski—111251192K. Kufel—1310118113LSep 5 · 16:15B. Sulkowski1.6011116113D. Poloszczanski2.15791181LSep 5 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski3.50119101172A. Lilien1.25911128113LSep 5 · 24:35K. Sulkowski1.8511118113D. Poloszczanski1.85681171
T. Pisarczyk10
LSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123WSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113LSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113LSep 6 · 04:25T. Pisarczyk6.906450G. Adamiak1.061111113LSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240
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