TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047306
Played Aug 30Finished
Mateusz Zagajewski
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119611116711
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
711119611116711
H2H Mateusz Zagajewski 1–2 Dominik Solilo Mateusz Zagajewski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zagajewski 1379 vs Solilo 1497
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zagajewski 60% vs Solilo 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zagajewski 50% vs Solilo 70%
Solilo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zagajewski -1 · Solilo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Solilo) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZagajewski 2.35 / Solilo 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Solilo)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13047306
Zagajewski2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Solilo1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 98 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 70 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZagajewski1wins
AwaySolilo2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSolilo leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zagajewski1Solilo2n = 3Solilo took 2 of 3
S2Zagajewski2Solilo1n = 3Zagajewski took 2 of 3
S3Zagajewski2Solilo1n = 3Zagajewski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZagajewskiSoliloZ − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.737.3−1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZagajewskiSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 725 vs 186 / 42449.2%43.9%357 / 725 vs 186 / 424Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloZagajewski 2.35/Solilo 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 30 · 07:40M. Zagajewski—1211113D. Solilo—10870
LAug 2 · 08:05M. Zagajewski—79111152D. Solilo—111189113
LJan 2 · 21:05M. Zagajewski—711391D. Solilo—11411113
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113LSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330LSep 6 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.82177781T. Pisarczyk1.85151111113LSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113LSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111WSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113LSep 6 · 07:15M. Zagajewski5.80691131G. Adamiak1.0911115113WSep 6 · 06:00T. Pisarczyk2.059270M. Zagajewski1.681111113WSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113LSep 6 · 03:20P. Staniszewski1.90119119143M. Zagajewski1.80611411122
D. Solilo10
WSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111LSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz1.3611811113D. Solilo3.00711951WSep 4 · 05:15A. Lilien1.9071190D. Solilo1.801113113WSep 4 · 04:25M. Minda1.5411860D. Solilo2.251311113LSep 4 · 03:00J. Zochniak1.6011116113D. Solilo2.10671141WSep 3 · 07:40D. Solilo1.9791111113J. Zochniak1.71117881WSep 3 · 06:25D. Solilo1.91811125133M. Minda1.781141011112
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D. Solilo
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