TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12438843
Played Aug 15Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611119811311
Damian Wasilewski
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Wasilewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
117611119811311
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 1–0 Damian Wasilewski Damian Wasilewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wasilewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1209 vs Wasilewski 1381
Wasilewski
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 40% vs Wasilewski 60%
Wasilewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 20% vs Wasilewski 50%
Wasilewski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak -3 · Wasilewski +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Wasilewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasilewski form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 2.70 / Wasilewski 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Wasilewski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12438843
Rolak2.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 200 of 530
Down 0–1, comes back19% 55 of 292
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 137
Wasilewski1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 47 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRolak1wins
AwayWasilewski0wins
Rolak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRolakWasilewskiR − WBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.039.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakWasilewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1458 vs 205 / 34246%59.9%671 / 1458 vs 205 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasilewskiRolak 2.70/Wasilewski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Wasilewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wasilewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 23 · 15:25J. Rolak—11119133D. Wasilewski—9811111
J. Rolak10
WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113WSep 5 · 10:10T. Piotrowski1.60119631J. Rolak2.2071111113WSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133WSep 5 · 07:20J. Rolak1.8011119113A. Szoltysek1.85471181LSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051LSep 5 · 04:55T. Piotrowski1.571111113J. Rolak2.213780LSep 5 · 03:25W. Iwasyszyn1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90781171
D. Wasilewski10
WSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 13:25T. Pisarczyk3.10149116133D. Wasilewski1.301211811112WSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Zagajewski2.225121171D. Wasilewski1.5611145113WSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113LSep 6 · 08:05D. Wasilewski4.25117110G. Adamiak1.181311133LSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071WSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113LSep 6 · 04:50D. Wasilewski1.5251161182M. Zagajewski2.30117118113WSep 6 · 03:40D. Wasilewski1.261111113T. Pisarczyk3.405240
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