TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052062
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711117115––
Piotr Cyrnek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Cyrnek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Piotr Cyrnek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Piotr Cyrnek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 21–19 Piotr Cyrnek Piotr Cyrnek has won 19 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kosowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-19 in 40
Kosowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1859 vs Cyrnek 1955
Cyrnek
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 40% vs Cyrnek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 60% vs Cyrnek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski -2 · Cyrnek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyrnek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrnek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.80 / Cyrnek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cyrnek)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13052062
Kosowski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 289 of 445
Up 2–0, closes it94% 134 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it85% 225 of 265
Cyrnek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 17 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski5wins
AwayCyrnek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayCyrnek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski6Cyrnek4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S2Kosowski5Cyrnek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosowski5Cyrnek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosowski3Cyrnek5n = 8Cyrnek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiCyrnekK − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.2+1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiCyrnekBasisWin rate · lifetime752 / 1275 vs 238 / 41859%56.9%752 / 1275 vs 238 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrnekKosowski 1.80/Cyrnek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cyrnek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 3 · 12:30J. Kosowski—111112113P. Cyrnek—891451
LJul 3 · 03:25J. Kosowski—491171P. Cyrnek—11117113
WJun 15 · 13:45J. Kosowski—121012113P. Cyrnek—10121041
LJun 15 · 08:30J. Kosowski—1110691P. Cyrnek—21211113
LMay 26 · 12:50J. Kosowski—111159102P. Cyrnek—871111123
WMay 26 · 09:10J. Kosowski—1211117113P. Cyrnek—14891192
WApr 27 · 10:00J. Kosowski—1111133P. Cyrnek—79110
LApr 27 · 09:10J. Kosowski—13111081P. Cyrnek—15312113
WDec 9 · 15:50J. Kosowski—11911113P. Cyrnek—711961
LDec 9 · 10:35J. Kosowski—8890P. Cyrnek—1111113
J. Kosowski10
WSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871WSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 1 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.731145111K. Petas2.0071111133LSep 1 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.368680K. Kolodziej3.001111113WSep 1 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.2013714113K. Glazowski4.3311111291LSep 1 · 10:00P. Cyrnek1.8371111113J. Kosowski1.83116571WSep 1 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.3011116113K. Strowski3.40491171WSep 1 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.7311611113K. Petas2.00911881
P. Cyrnek10
LSep 2 · 13:45P. Cyrnek1.5711711772M. Jadczyk2.25611911113WSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:15P. Cyrnek1.50715118132K. Wloczko2.501113811153WSep 2 · 10:00P. David1.5011119972P. Cyrnek2.50861111113WSep 2 · 09:20P. Cyrnek1.4411511113K. Kolodziej2.63711781WSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 06:55P. Cyrnek1.5071111692M. Jadczyk2.50114611113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113WSep 2 · 04:10P. Cyrnek2.201116143P. David1.61914120WSep 1 · 10:00P. Cyrnek1.8371111113J. Kosowski1.83116571
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.