TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12444668
Played Aug 16Finished
Kamil Kostyk
Home
1.66
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412117711911911
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:41 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Kostyk to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
1412117711911911
H2H Kamil Kostyk 5–3 Bartlomiej Mleczko Bartlomiej Mleczko has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Kostyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kostyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kostyk 1484 vs Mleczko 1438
Kostyk
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostyk 80% vs Mleczko 60%
Kostyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostyk 50% vs Mleczko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostyk +4 · Mleczko +2
Kostyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kostyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostyk 1.66 / Mleczko 2.05
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kostyk)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12444668
Kostyk1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 51 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Mleczko2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 58 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKostyk5wins
AwayMleczko3wins
5 of 8 to a deciderKostyk leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostyk60%3 of 5
AwayMleczko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostyk5Mleczko3n = 8Kostyk took 5 of 8
S2Kostyk6Mleczko2n = 8Kostyk took 6 of 8
S3Kostyk4Mleczko4n = 8split evenly
S4Kostyk2Mleczko4n = 6Mleczko took 4 of 6
S5Kostyk3Mleczko2n = 5Kostyk took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKostykMleczkoK − MBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match44.843.1+1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostykMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 414 vs 436 / 82651.7%52.8%214 / 414 vs 436 / 826Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostykKostyk 1.66/Mleczko 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.3%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 11 · 23:20K. Kostyk—51111682B. Mleczko—118511113
WJul 11 · 21:00K. Kostyk—1111817113B. Mleczko—95111962
LJul 11 · 17:45K. Kostyk—121010101B. Mleczko—101212123
WFeb 22 · 12:55K. Kostyk—121293B. Mleczko—101060
WFeb 22 · 09:20K. Kostyk—1111113B. Mleczko—8890
WJan 25 · 05:35K. Kostyk—1711511123B. Mleczko—196117102
WOct 19 · 10:20K. Kostyk—1011711123B. Mleczko—128118102
LOct 19 · 05:45K. Kostyk—118114102B. Mleczko—911711123
K. Kostyk10
LSep 7 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.2811911113K. Kostyk3.50611541WSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 16 · 23:20B. Mleczko1.85112651K. Kostyk1.8591111113LAug 16 · 22:35D. Solilo2.85131198113K. Kostyk1.36119111192LAug 16 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.678811121A. Lilien2.0311118143WAug 16 · 21:05D. Kotwica2.4011155732K. Kostyk1.518131111113WAug 16 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.301011158153J. Michalczyk3.251221311132WAug 16 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.5711117113A. Lilien2.20681191WAug 16 · 16:15K. Kostyk2.001111113D. Solilo1.716780WAug 16 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.2511512113D. Kotwica3.508111051
B. Mleczko10
LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113LAug 31 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.4511711113B. Mleczko1.49911581WAug 31 · 06:05B. Mleczko1.291111113M. Lukaszewski3.156680WAug 31 · 04:30B. Mleczko1.95871111123P. Blocho1.70111117102LAug 16 · 23:20B. Mleczko1.85112651K. Kostyk1.8591111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kostyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:20K. Kostyk4.50K. Strowski1.17—Sep 7 · 19:15K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 7 · 20:05K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Kostyk2.20K. Staszczyk1.61—Sep 7 · 22:55K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 23:45K. Kostyk1.44B. Sulkowski2.63—Sep 8 · 24:10K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk—M. Rutkowski——Sep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk—A. Daniel——Sep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——
B. Mleczko
Nothing scheduled
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