TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12445425
Played Aug 16Finished
Dominik Solilo
Home
2.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311119911811119
Kamil Kostyk
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Kostyk to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
1311119911811119
H2H Dominik Solilo 0–1 Kamil Kostyk Dominik Solilo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Kostyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1441 vs Kostyk 1463
Kostyk
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 20% vs Kostyk 60%
Kostyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 60% vs Kostyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo +1 · Kostyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kostyk) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 2.85 / Kostyk 1.36
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kostyk)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12445425
Solilo2.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 48 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Kostyk1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 51 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSolilo0wins
AwayKostyk1wins
Kostyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSoliloKostykS − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 351 vs 215 / 41742.7%51.6%150 / 351 vs 215 / 417Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostykSolilo 2.85/Kostyk 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 16 · 16:15D. Solilo—6780K. Kostyk—1111113
D. Solilo10
WSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113WSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113WSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111LSep 7 · 03:00M. Sklensky—1111613113D. Solilo—46111572WSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 07:15G. Poliniewicz1.3611811113D. Solilo3.00711951WSep 4 · 05:15A. Lilien1.9071190D. Solilo1.801113113WSep 4 · 04:25M. Minda1.5411860D. Solilo2.251311113LSep 4 · 03:00J. Zochniak1.6011116113D. Solilo2.10671141
K. Kostyk10
LSep 7 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.2811911113K. Kostyk3.50611541WSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133WAug 16 · 23:20B. Mleczko1.85112651K. Kostyk1.8591111113LAug 16 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.678811121A. Lilien2.0311118143WAug 16 · 21:05D. Kotwica2.4011155732K. Kostyk1.518131111113LAug 16 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.6614117992B. Mleczko2.051271111113WAug 16 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.301011158153J. Michalczyk3.251221311132WAug 16 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.5711117113A. Lilien2.20681191WAug 16 · 16:15K. Kostyk2.001111113D. Solilo1.716780WAug 16 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.2511512113D. Kotwica3.508111051
Upcoming Matches
D. Solilo
Nothing scheduled
K. Kostyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:20K. Kostyk4.50K. Strowski1.17—Sep 7 · 19:15K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 7 · 20:05K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Kostyk2.20K. Staszczyk1.61—Sep 7 · 22:55K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 23:45K. Kostyk1.44B. Sulkowski2.63—Sep 8 · 24:10K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk—M. Rutkowski——Sep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk—A. Daniel——Sep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——
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