TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12445511
Played Aug 16Finished
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119211611511––
Kamil Kostyk
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kostyk to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
119211611511––
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 4–6 Kamil Kostyk Bartlomiej Mleczko has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Kostyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kostyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1449 vs Kostyk 1451
Kostyk
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 80% vs Kostyk 40%
Mleczko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 60% vs Kostyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko -1 · Kostyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kostyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 1.85 / Kostyk 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kostyk)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12445511
Mleczko1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kostyk1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMleczko4wins
AwayKostyk6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKostyk leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMleczko25%1 of 4
AwayKostyk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko4Kostyk6n = 10Kostyk took 6 of 10
S2Mleczko2Kostyk8n = 10Kostyk took 8 of 10
S3Mleczko5Kostyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Mleczko5Kostyk3n = 8Mleczko took 5 of 8
S5Mleczko3Kostyk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMleczkoKostykM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.145.0−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 830 vs 216 / 41952.8%51.6%438 / 830 vs 216 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostykMleczko 1.85/Kostyk 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 23:20B. Mleczko—112651K. Kostyk—91111113
WAug 16 · 20:30B. Mleczko—1271111113K. Kostyk—14117992
WJul 11 · 23:20B. Mleczko—118511113K. Kostyk—51111682
LJul 11 · 21:00B. Mleczko—95111962K. Kostyk—1111817113
WJul 11 · 17:45B. Mleczko—101212123K. Kostyk—121010101
LFeb 22 · 12:55B. Mleczko—101060K. Kostyk—121293
LFeb 22 · 09:20B. Mleczko—8890K. Kostyk—1111113
LJan 25 · 05:35B. Mleczko—196117102K. Kostyk—1711511123
LOct 19 · 10:20B. Mleczko—128118102K. Kostyk—1011711123
WOct 19 · 05:45B. Mleczko—911711123K. Kostyk—118114102
B. Mleczko10
LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113LAug 31 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.4511711113B. Mleczko1.49911581WAug 31 · 06:05B. Mleczko1.291111113M. Lukaszewski3.156680WAug 31 · 04:30B. Mleczko1.95871111123P. Blocho1.70111117102LAug 31 · 03:50D. Solilo1.73115119113B. Mleczko1.9881171182
K. Kostyk10
LSep 7 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.2811911113K. Kostyk3.50611541WSep 7 · 15:00K. Staszczyk1.6154110K. Kostyk2.201111133LAug 16 · 22:35D. Solilo2.85131198113K. Kostyk1.36119111192LAug 16 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.678811121A. Lilien2.0311118143WAug 16 · 21:05D. Kotwica2.4011155732K. Kostyk1.518131111113LAug 16 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.6614117992B. Mleczko2.051271111113WAug 16 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.301011158153J. Michalczyk3.251221311132WAug 16 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.5711117113A. Lilien2.20681191WAug 16 · 16:15K. Kostyk2.001111113D. Solilo1.716780WAug 16 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.2511512113D. Kotwica3.508111051
Upcoming Matches
B. Mleczko
Nothing scheduled
K. Kostyk2 of 10 neutral
Sep 7 · 17:20K. Kostyk4.50K. Strowski1.17—Sep 7 · 19:15K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 7 · 20:05K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 21:00K. Kostyk2.20K. Staszczyk1.61—Sep 7 · 22:55K. Kostyk2.25K. Kapik1.57—Sep 7 · 23:45K. Kostyk1.44B. Sulkowski2.63—Sep 8 · 24:10K. Kostyk2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 8 · 15:00K. Kostyk—M. Rutkowski——Sep 8 · 16:05K. Kostyk—A. Daniel——Sep 8 · 17:40K. Kostyk—L. Pietraszko——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.