TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052075
Played Aug 31Finished
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181161210––
Michal Minda
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
9111181161210––
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 18–17 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-17 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1479 vs Minda 1549
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 60% vs Minda 40%
Mleczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 60% vs Minda 40%
Mleczko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko -1 · Minda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 2.00 / Minda 1.70
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Minda)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13052075
Mleczko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 58 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Minda1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 291 of 480
Up 2–0, closes it97% 121 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it80% 215 of 268
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMleczko3wins
AwayMinda7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMleczkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMinda77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko1Minda9n = 10Minda took 9 of 10
S2Mleczko8Minda2n = 10Mleczko took 8 of 10
S3Mleczko5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S4Mleczko4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S5Mleczko2Minda4n = 6Minda took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMleczkoMindaMleczko − MindaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match45.144.7+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 828 vs 1028 / 201052.4%51.1%434 / 828 vs 1028 / 2010Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMleczko 2.00/Minda 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 03:40B. Mleczko—8121011102M. Minda—1110126123
WJul 31 · 11:50B. Mleczko—81111113M. Minda—113981
LJul 31 · 07:40B. Mleczko—711961M. Minda—11611113
LJun 13 · 14:00B. Mleczko—911111192M. Minda—111377113
LJun 13 · 08:45B. Mleczko—61181282M. Minda—1171110113
WJun 3 · 12:40B. Mleczko—9151213113M. Minda—1113101552
LJun 3 · 03:25B. Mleczko—1111118102M. Minda—134711123
LMay 30 · 06:10B. Mleczko—811951M. Minda—11311113
WMay 18 · 10:35B. Mleczko—111189113M. Minda—98111192
LMay 16 · 08:20B. Mleczko—881191M. Minda—11119113
B. Mleczko10
LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113LAug 31 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.4511711113B. Mleczko1.49911581WAug 31 · 06:05B. Mleczko1.291111113M. Lukaszewski3.156680WAug 31 · 04:30B. Mleczko1.95871111123P. Blocho1.70111117102LAug 31 · 03:50D. Solilo1.73115119113B. Mleczko1.9881171182WAug 29 · 13:50D. Kosmal1.52511671B. Mleczko2.3011311113
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113
Upcoming Matches
B. Mleczko
Nothing scheduled
M. Minda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.