TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13041712
Played Aug 29Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.52
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511113611711––
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 71.4% is still 71.4%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
71.4%
71.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
511113611711––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 4–1 Bartlomiej Mleczko Bartlomiej Mleczko has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Kosmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Kosmal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1662 vs Mleczko 1449
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 80% vs Mleczko 20%
Kosmal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 80% vs Mleczko 40%
Kosmal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -1 · Mleczko -3
Mleczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.52 / Mleczko 2.30
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13041712
Kosmal1.52
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 161 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it96% 85 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it84% 132 of 158
Mleczko2.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKosmal4wins
AwayMleczko1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKosmal leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal75%3 of 4
AwayMleczkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal4Mleczko1n = 5Kosmal took 4 of 5
S2Kosmal2Mleczko3n = 5Mleczko took 3 of 5
S3Kosmal4Mleczko1n = 5Kosmal took 4 of 5
S4Kosmal4Mleczko0n = 4Kosmal took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKosmalMleczkoK − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match42.035.2+6.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 626 vs 439 / 83454.8%52.6%343 / 626 vs 439 / 834Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.52/Mleczko 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.2%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 29 · 08:30D. Kosmal—11517123B. Mleczko—81115101
WSep 21 · 10:20D. Kosmal—111011113B. Mleczko—812761
WAug 24 · 10:40D. Kosmal—1111143B. Mleczko—58120
WAug 9 · 20:35D. Kosmal—91111113B. Mleczko—115581
LJul 20 · 10:20D. Kosmal—11591182B. Mleczko—411118113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151
B. Mleczko10
LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113LAug 31 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.4511711113B. Mleczko1.49911581WAug 31 · 06:05B. Mleczko1.291111113M. Lukaszewski3.156680WAug 31 · 04:30B. Mleczko1.95871111123P. Blocho1.70111117102LAug 31 · 03:50D. Solilo1.73115119113B. Mleczko1.9881171182
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