TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13050721
Played Aug 31Finished
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116118––––
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
3.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:29 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mleczko to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
116116118––––
H2H Bartlomiej Mleczko 3–1 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:29What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (71%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Mleczko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mleczko 1482 vs Lukaszewski 1152
Mleczko
Correct
both rated, 330 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mleczko 40% vs Lukaszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mleczko 40% vs Lukaszewski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mleczko +1 · Lukaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMleczko 1.29 / Lukaszewski 3.15
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Mleczko)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13050721
Mleczko1.29
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 120 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 83 of 109
Lukaszewski3.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 276 of 677
Down 0–1, comes back14% 54 of 379
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMleczko3wins
AwayLukaszewski1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMleczko leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mleczko2Lukaszewski2n = 4split evenly
S2Mleczko3Lukaszewski1n = 4Mleczko took 3 of 4
S3Mleczko3Lukaszewski1n = 4Mleczko took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMleczkoLukaszewskiM − LBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.027.0+8.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMleczkoLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 830 vs 922 / 204552.4%45.1%435 / 830 vs 922 / 2045Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoMleczko 1.29/Lukaszewski 3.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 31 · 06:05B. Mleczko—1111113M. Lukaszewski—6680
LMay 2 · 17:25B. Mleczko—8970M. Lukaszewski—1111113
WJul 3 · 09:50B. Mleczko—7111110113M. Lukaszewski—11631242
WJun 25 · 16:35B. Mleczko—1111113M. Lukaszewski—8920
B. Mleczko10
LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113LAug 31 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.4511711113B. Mleczko1.49911581WAug 31 · 04:30B. Mleczko1.95871111123P. Blocho1.70111117102LAug 31 · 03:50D. Solilo1.73115119113B. Mleczko1.9881171182WAug 29 · 13:50D. Kosmal1.52511671B. Mleczko2.3011311113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski1.28131111113M. Lukaszewski3.251113761LSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840WSep 4 · 12:15M. Lukaszewski3.7581512113A. Lilien1.2211131081WSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772LSep 4 · 09:50M. Minda1.23111111123M. Lukaszewski3.558134101WSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski1.411111111192M. Lukaszewski2.60213713113LSep 4 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski3.355770B. Sulkowski1.271111113LSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:55W. Gronowski1.3611117113M. Lukaszewski2.80281171LSep 4 · 03:25K. Klocek1.651311113M. Lukaszewski2.0511810
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