TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093650
Played Sep 8Finished
Kacper Glazowski
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1184111412511811
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Glazowski above · Krzysztof Kapik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Krzysztof Kapik at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Glazowski 10–18 Krzysztof Kapik Kacper Glazowski has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Glazowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-18 in 28
Kapik
Correct
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glazowski 1746 vs Kapik 1689
Glazowski
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glazowski 80% vs Kapik 60%
Glazowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glazowski 50% vs Kapik 70%
Kapik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glazowski -1 · Kapik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlazowski 1.53 / Kapik 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Glazowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093650
Glazowski1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it98% 62 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 114 of 138
Kapik2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 210 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back27% 62 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlazowski4wins
AwayKapik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlazowski50%4 of 8
AwayKapikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glazowski8Kapik2n = 10Glazowski took 8 of 10
S2Glazowski4Kapik6n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S3Glazowski1Kapik9n = 10Kapik took 9 of 10
S4Glazowski4Kapik5n = 9Kapik took 5 of 9
S5Glazowski2Kapik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlazowskiKapikG − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.642.3−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlazowskiKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 1012 vs 1120 / 210949%53.1%496 / 1012 vs 1120 / 2109Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiGlazowski 1.53/Kapik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 13:25K. Glazowski—1161011122K. Kapik—711127143
LAug 17 · 13:00K. Glazowski—11881182K. Kapik—911118113
WAug 11 · 18:50K. Glazowski—111169113K. Kapik—69111172
LJul 28 · 14:15K. Glazowski—1161061K. Kapik—71112113
LMay 25 · 13:35K. Glazowski—125951K. Kapik—101111113
WMay 25 · 03:55K. Glazowski—118115113K. Kapik—81171152
WJan 26 · 11:40K. Glazowski—14118113K. Kapik—1291161
WDec 10 · 13:20K. Glazowski—11117113K. Kapik—981191
LNov 26 · 24:50K. Glazowski—5460K. Kapik—1111113
LNov 25 · 22:30K. Glazowski—713761K. Kapik—111111113
K. Glazowski10
WSep 8 · 18:50K. Kostyk3.751111361K. Glazowski1.2513611113LSep 8 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.73101151162M. Rutkowski2.00128117113WSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.90101111123M. Sklensky1.741279101WSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181WSep 8 · 10:05K. Glazowski1.5711811113G. Poliniewicz2.16611991LSep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski1.5511713582K. Wisniewski2.205111111113LSep 7 · 19:40K. Strowski1.911251012113K. Glazowski1.801011121082LSep 7 · 18:50K. Staszczyk2.50111387113K. Glazowski1.50911111182
K. Kapik10
WSep 8 · 19:15K. Kapik2.001111113M. Rutkowski1.736980LSep 8 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10631111113K. Kapik1.6711116982LSep 8 · 15:25A. Daniel1.611181111113K. Kapik2.2013119452WSep 8 · 24:35B. Sulkowski3.75811781K. Kapik1.2511211113WSep 7 · 22:55K. Kostyk2.63149971K. Kapik1.44121111113WSep 7 · 22:10K. Staszczyk1.9191190K. Kapik1.801113113LSep 7 · 21:25M. Rutkowski1.73714413113K. Kapik2.001112111182WSep 7 · 20:05K. Kapik1.57811119123K. Kostyk2.25117911102WSep 7 · 18:30K. Strowski1.5781111662K. Kapik2.25118911113WSep 7 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.8391161182K. Kapik1.83117119113
Upcoming Matches
K. Glazowski
K. Kapik3 of 9 neutral
Sep 8 · 20:30K. Kapik1.44K. Kostyk2.63—Sep 8 · 21:25K. Kapik1.73L. Pietraszko2.00—Sep 8 · 21:50K. Kapik2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.44K. Kostyk2.63—Sep 9 · 24:10K. Kapik2.00M. Rutkowski1.73—Sep 9 · 21:00K. Kapik—J. Chmielowski——Sep 9 · 22:10K. Kapik—M. Olbrycht——Sep 9 · 22:35K. Kapik—K. Staszczyk——Sep 9 · 23:20K. Kapik—M. Rutkowski——
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