TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128251
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Witkowski
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111181012811––
Adam Linek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Witkowski above · Adam Linek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Adam Linek at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Witkowski 5–3 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:12What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1516 vs Linek 1510
Witkowski
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 40% vs Linek 80%
Linek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 50% vs Linek 70%
Linek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski -1 · Linek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Witkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.53 / Linek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Witkowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13128251
Witkowski1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 68 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Linek2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 146 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back26% 52 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeWitkowski5wins
AwayLinek3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderWitkowski leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski100%4 of 4
AwayLinek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski4Linek4n = 8split evenly
S2Witkowski4Linek4n = 8split evenly
S3Witkowski4Linek4n = 8split evenly
S4Witkowski3Linek3n = 6split evenly
S5Witkowski3Linek1n = 4Witkowski took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricWitkowskiLinekW − LBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.039.2−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 855 vs 785 / 168346.7%46.6%399 / 855 vs 785 / 1683Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiWitkowski 1.53/Linek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LFeb 16 · 10:50J. Witkowski2468100A. Linek341111123
WJan 28 · 17:55J. Witkowski3911512113A. Linek349111041
WDec 9 · 12:00J. Witkowski38211311113A. Linek4311611872
LOct 7 · 01:00J. Witkowski45611111252A. Linek52118814113
WOct 6 · 22:35J. Witkowski341211113A. Linek2610790
WSep 11 · 09:30J. Witkowski51129118113A. Linek43101141172
LApr 18 · 11:00J. Witkowski27411391A. Linek3711411113
WApr 17 · 19:20J. Witkowski46119411113A. Linek4591111862
J. Witkowski10
LSep 14 · 16:05J. Witkowski1.8065130M. Kolek1.911111153WSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172WSep 14 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.851251161J. Witkowski1.20101113113LSep 14 · 13:05A. Sobel2.108111111113J. Witkowski1.6611881342LSep 14 · 12:15J. Witkowski1.6111571182J. Glanowski2.15911115113WSep 14 · 10:35J. Witkowski1.1711611113F. Krcil4.10811891WSep 14 · 09:50J. Przewlocki4.10861191J. Witkowski1.1811114113LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670
A. Linek10
WSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162WSep 14 · 15:45A. Linek1.731151110123K. Rudomina2.00911912102LSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113WSep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.9048111162A. Linek1.75111159113WSep 13 · 22:35A. Linek1.3011118123K. Marchlewski3.108911101WSep 13 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.5591111292A. Linek1.42118911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.4013580A. Linek2.651511113LSep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.8361111113A. Linek1.86118971LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891WSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123
Upcoming Matches
J. Witkowski
Sep 14 · 18:50J. Witkowski1.44K. Rudomina2.63—Sep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.91K. Staszczyk1.80—Sep 15 · 09:25J. Witkowski—W. Iwasyszyn——Sep 15 · 11:00J. Witkowski—B. Czerwinski——Sep 15 · 12:15J. Witkowski—J. Zochniak——Sep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski—K. Rudomina——Sep 15 · 14:40J. Witkowski—A. Sobel——Sep 15 · 15:45J. Witkowski—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 16:30J. Witkowski—A. Linek——Sep 15 · 18:05J. Witkowski—L. Pietraszko——
A. Linek
Sep 14 · 18:30A. Linek2.20M. Kolek1.61—Sep 14 · 20:05A. Linek1.83K. Kostyk1.83—Sep 14 · 21:00A. Linek2.45K. Kostyk1.44—Sep 14 · 22:10A. Linek1.30J. Lamperski3.40—Sep 14 · 22:35A. Linek2.25D. Solilo1.57—Sep 14 · 23:20A. Linek2.75K. Staszczyk1.40—Sep 15 · 15:00A. Linek—K. Kostyk——Sep 15 · 16:30A. Linek—J. Witkowski——Sep 15 · 17:20A. Linek—J. Lamperski——Sep 15 · 19:15A. Linek—L. Pietraszko——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.