TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125423
Played Sep 14Finished
Jakub Witkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6115111315––––
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Witkowski above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 61 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Witkowski 9–6 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Witkowski 1516 vs Kolek 1680
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Witkowski 60% vs Kolek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Witkowski 60% vs Kolek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Witkowski +2 · Kolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWitkowski 1.80 / Kolek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolek)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13125423
Witkowski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 68 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Kolek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 176 of 452
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWitkowski7wins
AwayKolek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWitkowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWitkowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayKolek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Witkowski6Kolek4n = 10Witkowski took 6 of 10
S2Witkowski5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S3Witkowski2Kolek8n = 10Kolek took 8 of 10
S4Witkowski8Kolek1n = 9Witkowski took 8 of 9
S5Witkowski3Kolek1n = 4Witkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWitkowskiKolekW − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.940.9+2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWitkowskiKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 855 vs 697 / 140146.7%49.8%399 / 855 vs 697 / 1401Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekWitkowski 1.80/Kolek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 16:05J. Witkowski2465130M. Kolek371111153
LSep 3 · 14:40J. Witkowski53815111182M. Kolek57111799113
WSep 2 · 12:10J. Witkowski4011117113M. Kolek28731171
WJun 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski46116711113M. Kolek4461111792
WMay 27 · 23:50J. Witkowski529111011113M. Kolek4711812972
WMay 27 · 21:30J. Witkowski49912611113M. Kolek49111011982
WApr 16 · 12:40J. Witkowski4311119123M. Kolek399911101
WApr 11 · 20:15J. Witkowski4413119113M. Kolek341141181
WMar 25 · 17:15J. Witkowski44111111113M. Kolek32713661
LFeb 27 · 24:50J. Witkowski34117881M. Kolek4291111113
J. Witkowski10
WSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172WSep 14 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.851251161J. Witkowski1.20101113113LSep 14 · 13:05A. Sobel2.108111111113J. Witkowski1.6611881342LSep 14 · 12:15J. Witkowski1.6111571182J. Glanowski2.15911115113WSep 14 · 10:35J. Witkowski1.1711611113F. Krcil4.10811891WSep 14 · 09:50J. Przewlocki4.10861191J. Witkowski1.1811114113LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472
M. Kolek10
LSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek2.20611611102K. Staszczyk1.61115114123WSep 13 · 18:30M. Kolek1.911111113L. Pietraszko1.809280WSep 13 · 17:20M. Kolek1.501011118153G. Kesik2.50124211132LSep 13 · 16:05F. Mlynarski1.4451111113M. Kolek2.63118411WSep 13 · 15:25M. Kolek2.2511914113D. Jadam1.574111291WSep 13 · 14:35T. Piotrowski3.055580M. Kolek1.291111113WSep 13 · 13:25M. Kolek1.241191313133M. Piecowski3.404111115112LSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo1.8511118113M. Kolek1.85371181WSep 13 · 10:55G. Kesik2.65631121M. Kolek1.4011118113LSep 13 · 09:20P. Maruszak2.80119511113M. Kolek1.3481111982
Upcoming Matches
J. Witkowski
Sep 14 · 17:40J. Witkowski1.53A. Linek2.38—Sep 14 · 18:50J. Witkowski1.44K. Rudomina2.63—Sep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.91K. Staszczyk1.80—Sep 15 · 09:25J. Witkowski—W. Iwasyszyn——Sep 15 · 11:00J. Witkowski—B. Czerwinski——Sep 15 · 12:15J. Witkowski—J. Zochniak——Sep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski—K. Rudomina——Sep 15 · 14:40J. Witkowski—A. Sobel——Sep 15 · 15:45J. Witkowski—B. Kwodawski——Sep 15 · 16:30J. Witkowski—A. Linek——
M. Kolek
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