TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127548
Played Sep 14Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111181181113114
Jakub Witkowski
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:14 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Witkowski to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
8111181181113114
H2H Artur Sobel 1–4 Jakub Witkowski Artur Sobel has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:14What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Witkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Witkowski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1570 vs Witkowski 1521
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Witkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 60% vs Witkowski 40%
Sobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +3 · Witkowski -1
Sobel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Witkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 2.10 / Witkowski 1.66
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Witkowski)-1.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13127548
Sobel2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 82 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Witkowski1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 68 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSobel1wins
AwayWitkowski4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderWitkowski leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobeln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayWitkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel1Witkowski4n = 5Witkowski took 4 of 5
S2Sobel2Witkowski3n = 5Witkowski took 3 of 5
S3Sobel0Witkowski5n = 5Witkowski took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricSobelWitkowskiS − WBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match32.637.4−4.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelWitkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime639 / 1189 vs 397 / 85153.7%46.7%639 / 1189 vs 397 / 851Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WitkowskiSobel 2.10/Witkowski 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Witkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LFeb 16 · 16:25A. Sobel268990J. Witkowski331111113
LFeb 16 · 14:05A. Sobel2688100J. Witkowski341111123
LDec 26 · 13:40A. Sobel229580J. Witkowski331111113
LDec 9 · 13:40A. Sobel49111181182J. Witkowski52138119113
WNov 24 · 17:15A. Sobel4011117113J. Witkowski35781191
A. Sobel10
LSep 14 · 14:40A. Sobel1.758117121J. Glanowski1.9511811143WSep 14 · 11:50A. Sobel1.3011113113J. Przewlocki3.00661151WSep 14 · 10:10A. Sobel1.2911911113W. Iwasyszyn3.10811641WSep 14 · 09:00A. Sobel1.301111113F. Krcil3.055960LSep 14 · 07:40A. Sobel2.75711471M. Malachowski1.3711911113LSep 14 · 06:25A. Sobel2.70261191L. Jarocki1.4111118113LSep 14 · 05:15A. Sobel3.709590J. Kuzmicz1.221111113WSep 14 · 04:00K. Wisniewski1.804111291A. Sobel1.8511714113LSep 14 · 03:20A. Sobel3.90116471K. Glazowski1.1871111113WSep 8 · 13:55J. Glanowski2.01118911112A. Sobel1.66811118133
J. Witkowski10
WSep 14 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.851251161J. Witkowski1.20101113113LSep 14 · 12:15J. Witkowski1.6111571182J. Glanowski2.15911115113WSep 14 · 10:35J. Witkowski1.1711611113F. Krcil4.10811891WSep 14 · 09:50J. Przewlocki4.10861191J. Witkowski1.1811114113LSep 3 · 20:05J. Witkowski5.00411581M. Benes1.1411911113WSep 3 · 18:30J. Braun1.2011814111J. Witkowski4.33131112133LSep 3 · 17:40P. Klos1.131111113J. Witkowski5.504670WSep 3 · 16:55J. Witkowski1.80911611113J. Chmielowski1.9111811472LSep 3 · 15:45J. Witkowski2.639813121A. Daniel1.44111111143LSep 3 · 14:40M. Kolek1.91111799113J. Witkowski1.80815111182
Upcoming Matches
A. Sobel
J. Witkowski
Sep 14 · 16:05J. Witkowski1.80M. Kolek1.91—Sep 14 · 17:40J. Witkowski1.53A. Linek2.38—Sep 14 · 18:50J. Witkowski1.50K. Rudomina2.50—Sep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.91K. Staszczyk1.80—Sep 15 · 09:25J. Witkowski—W. Iwasyszyn——Sep 15 · 11:00J. Witkowski—B. Czerwinski——Sep 15 · 12:15J. Witkowski—J. Zochniak——Sep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski—K. Rudomina——Sep 15 · 14:40J. Witkowski—A. Sobel——Sep 15 · 15:45J. Witkowski—B. Kwodawski——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.