TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126265
Played Sep 14Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211611118911––
Lukasz Jarocki
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
211611118911––
H2H Artur Sobel 0–2 Lukasz Jarocki Artur Sobel has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (66%)
Jarocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1557 vs Jarocki 1744
Jarocki
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Jarocki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 80% vs Jarocki 60%
Sobel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Jarocki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Jarocki) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jarocki form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 2.70 / Jarocki 1.41
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Jarocki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13126265
Sobel2.70
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 82 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Jarocki1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 126 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it77% 90 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSobel0wins
AwayJarocki2wins
Jarocki leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSobelJarockiS − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.041.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelJarockiBasisWin rate · lifetime636 / 1185 vs 823 / 146853.7%56.1%636 / 1185 vs 823 / 1468Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarockiSobel 2.70/Jarocki 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Jarocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jarocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 14 · 06:25A. Sobel28261191L. Jarocki4111118113
LJul 14 · 09:50A. Sobel28511571L. Jarocki4111811113
A. Sobel10
LSep 14 · 05:15A. Sobel3.709590J. Kuzmicz1.221111113WSep 14 · 04:00K. Wisniewski1.804111291A. Sobel1.8511714113LSep 14 · 03:20A. Sobel3.90116471K. Glazowski1.1871111113WSep 8 · 13:55J. Glanowski2.01118911112A. Sobel1.66811118133WSep 8 · 13:05S. Brud1.861110111172A. Sobel1.80512813113WSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261WSep 8 · 10:35A. Sobel1.431111113A. Myszewski2.505890WSep 8 · 09:50A. Lilien2.00351391A. Sobel1.70111111113WSep 8 · 08:30A. Sobel3.50811811113M. Sklensky1.2511411592WSep 8 · 06:50A. Sobel1.861071111113S. Brud1.8012116572
L. Jarocki10
WSep 14 · 05:35K. Wisniewski2.38631161L. Jarocki1.5311119113LSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113LSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113LSep 1 · 18:05L. Jarocki1.7361370M. Olbrycht2.001115113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162WSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162WSep 1 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.551211113K. Wisniewski2.3010770
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