TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126274
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukasz Jarocki
Home
1.92
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119811711––
Kacper Glazowski
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Jarocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
911119811711––
H2H Lukasz Jarocki 27–29 Kacper Glazowski Lukasz Jarocki has won 27 of their 56 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Glazowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-29 in 56
Glazowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jarocki 1742 vs Glazowski 1733
Jarocki
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jarocki 60% vs Glazowski 40%
Jarocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jarocki 50% vs Glazowski 70%
Glazowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jarocki -1 · Glazowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Glazowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glazowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJarocki 1.92 / Glazowski 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Glazowski)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13126274
Jarocki1.92
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Glazowski1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 123 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJarocki5wins
AwayGlazowski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJarocki80%4 of 5
AwayGlazowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jarocki5Glazowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Jarocki3Glazowski7n = 10Glazowski took 7 of 10
S3Jarocki6Glazowski4n = 10Jarocki took 6 of 10
S4Jarocki4Glazowski4n = 8split evenly
S5Jarocki3Glazowski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJarockiGlazowskiJ − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.342.2−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarockiGlazowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime824 / 1468 vs 484 / 98956.1%48.9%824 / 1468 vs 484 / 989Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GlazowskiJarocki 1.92/Glazowski 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Glazowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glazowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 14:35L. Jarocki4211911113K. Glazowski34711791
WAug 10 · 17:40L. Jarocki5512111110113K. Glazowski5014791282
LAug 10 · 11:45L. Jarocki4261112852K. Glazowski491161011113
WJul 28 · 09:00L. Jarocki511112116113K. Glazowski4791491142
WJun 9 · 11:30L. Jarocki51119119113K. Glazowski4891191182
LJun 9 · 04:15L. Jarocki44381112102K. Glazowski501111610123
LJun 8 · 13:35L. Jarocki44117101152K. Glazowski47411129113
LJun 8 · 06:35L. Jarocki216870K. Glazowski331111113
LMay 26 · 14:00L. Jarocki215970K. Glazowski331111113
WMay 26 · 08:45L. Jarocki4211119113K. Glazowski31771161
L. Jarocki10
LSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113LSep 1 · 18:05L. Jarocki1.7361370M. Olbrycht2.001115113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162WSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162WSep 1 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.551211113K. Wisniewski2.3010770LSep 1 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.90811981M. Sklensky1.8011511113LSep 1 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.808950A. Spychala1.851111113
K. Glazowski10
WSep 14 · 03:20A. Sobel3.90116471K. Glazowski1.1871111113LSep 8 · 19:40A. Daniel1.61116136113K. Glazowski2.20911111192WSep 8 · 18:50K. Kostyk3.751111361K. Glazowski1.2513611113LSep 8 · 18:05K. Glazowski1.5311414582K. Kapik2.388111211113LSep 8 · 16:30K. Glazowski1.73101151162M. Rutkowski2.00128117113WSep 8 · 15:45L. Pietraszko3.0021140K. Glazowski1.361113113WSep 8 · 14:35K. Glazowski1.86101111113A. Daniel1.80128581WSep 8 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.90101111123M. Sklensky1.741279101WSep 8 · 11:45K. Glazowski1.8311119113J. Kuzmicz1.83881181WSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162
Upcoming Matches
L. Jarocki
Sep 14 · 05:35L. Jarocki1.53K. Wisniewski2.38—Sep 14 · 06:25L. Jarocki1.20A. Sobel3.70—Sep 14 · 08:05L. Jarocki2.16J. Kuzmicz1.57—Sep 14 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.63G. Poliniewicz2.05—Sep 14 · 10:05L. Jarocki1.58K. Kapik2.14—Sep 14 · 11:45L. Jarocki1.72M. Rutkowski1.93—Sep 14 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.92K. Glazowski1.73—Sep 14 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.69M. Malachowski1.96—
K. Glazowski
Sep 14 · 06:00K. Glazowski1.60M. Malachowski2.06—Sep 14 · 07:15K. Glazowski2.07J. Kuzmicz1.62—Sep 14 · 08:30K. Glazowski1.41K. Wisniewski2.55—Sep 14 · 09:45K. Glazowski1.61M. Rutkowski2.08—Sep 14 · 10:30K. Glazowski1.58G. Poliniewicz2.14—Sep 14 · 12:10K. Glazowski1.64M. Malachowski2.04—Sep 14 · 13:00K. Glazowski1.73L. Jarocki1.92—Sep 14 · 13:50K. Glazowski1.50K. Kapik2.31—
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