TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126270
Played Sep 14Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611311119611––
Lukasz Jarocki
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
611311119611––
H2H Karol Wisniewski 67–79 Lukasz Jarocki Karol Wisniewski has won 67 of their 146 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jarocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-79 in 146
Jarocki
Correct
gap of 12 in 146, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1608 vs Jarocki 1729
Jarocki
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Jarocki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Jarocki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Jarocki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jarocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jarocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.38 / Jarocki 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Jarocki)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13126270
Wisniewski2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 211 of 560
Down 0–1, comes back19% 68 of 350
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 211
Jarocki1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 126 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it77% 90 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski7wins
AwayJarocki3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%7 of 7
AwayJarocki100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski7Jarocki3n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S2Wisniewski7Jarocki3n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Jarocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski2Jarocki2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiJarockiW − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.333.9+3.4per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiJarockiBasisWin rate · lifetime990 / 2192 vs 823 / 146845.2%56.1%990 / 2192 vs 823 / 1468Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarockiWisniewski 2.38/Jarocki 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Jarocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jarocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 13:00K. Wisniewski2410770L. Jarocki341211113
WAug 31 · 12:35K. Wisniewski46121211113L. Jarocki4010101371
WJul 27 · 09:45K. Wisniewski361411113L. Jarocki2912890
WJul 13 · 10:55K. Wisniewski391113153L. Jarocki28411130
WJun 10 · 11:30K. Wisniewski351311113L. Jarocki2211740
WJun 8 · 09:30K. Wisniewski57181189113L. Jarocki50166111162
WJun 8 · 05:45K. Wisniewski341211113L. Jarocki2310940
LMay 28 · 11:30K. Wisniewski312116121L. Jarocki4011411143
LMay 28 · 03:30K. Wisniewski249780L. Jarocki331111113
WMay 26 · 07:35K. Wisniewski47151011113L. Jarocki401312691
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 14 · 04:00K. Wisniewski1.804111291A. Sobel1.8511714113LSep 14 · 03:00K. Wisniewski2.95961191J. Kuzmicz1.3211114113WSep 12 · 08:05K. Wisniewski1.8011611123G. Poliniewicz1.905119101LSep 12 · 06:25D. Solilo2.201111113K. Wisniewski1.604780WSep 12 · 05:35K. Rudomina2.55991191K. Wisniewski1.4511115113WSep 12 · 04:50K. Wisniewski1.27812118113R. Malinowski3.25111051172WSep 12 · 03:40K. Wisniewski1.301111123P. Maruszak3.2585100LSep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96116117113K. Wisniewski1.6951161172WSep 11 · 13:25K. Wisniewski2.551181111113M. Nowalinski1.4213115592LSep 11 · 12:10M. Kolek2.4091111113K. Wisniewski1.47114461
L. Jarocki10
WSep 14 · 06:25A. Sobel2.70261191L. Jarocki1.4111118113LSep 14 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.92911871K. Glazowski1.7311911113LSep 14 · 03:40L. Jarocki1.839121271M. Malachowski1.87111410113WSep 1 · 19:40K. Strowski2.0091171152L. Jarocki1.73117119113WSep 1 · 18:50A. Spychala2.207680L. Jarocki1.611111113LSep 1 · 18:05L. Jarocki1.7361370M. Olbrycht2.001115113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jarocki1.83881111113M. Sklensky1.8311115492LSep 1 · 15:45K. Glazowski1.73118167113L. Jarocki2.00911141162WSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162WSep 1 · 13:00L. Jarocki1.551211113K. Wisniewski2.3010770
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