TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13111536
Played Sep 11Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911114114116––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
911114114116––
H2H Maciej Kolek 6–10 Karol Wisniewski Maciej Kolek has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Wisniewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Wisniewski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1642 vs Wisniewski 1620
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 80% vs Wisniewski 60%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Wisniewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +1 · Wisniewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Wisniewski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.40 / Wisniewski 1.47
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Wisniewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13111536
Kolek2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 185 of 465
Down 0–1, comes back22% 60 of 277
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 125
Wisniewski1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 138 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 64 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 101 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek4wins
AwayWisniewski6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek100%4 of 4
AwayWisniewski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Kolek4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Kolek4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Kolek2Wisniewski4n = 6Wisniewski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekWisniewskiK − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.035.4−1.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime683 / 1377 vs 991 / 219349.6%45.2%683 / 1377 vs 991 / 2193Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiKolek 2.40/Wisniewski 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 07:15M. Kolek—99140K. Wisniewski—1111163
LAug 28 · 09:45M. Kolek—691181K. Wisniewski—11118113
WAug 15 · 24:45M. Kolek—11811113K. Wisniewski—711371
WAug 10 · 22:55M. Kolek—11118113K. Wisniewski—881161
LAug 10 · 03:20M. Kolek—611681K. Wisniewski—11611113
LJul 8 · 14:15M. Kolek—4711101K. Wisniewski—11115123
LJun 19 · 13:00M. Kolek—11990K. Wisniewski—1311113
WJun 17 · 08:05M. Kolek—1211113K. Wisniewski—10580
LJun 17 · 05:35M. Kolek—9780K. Wisniewski—1111113
WApr 17 · 08:45M. Kolek—111163113K. Wisniewski—59111192
M. Kolek10
WSep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.70381191M. Kolek1.9511118113WSep 11 · 10:30M. Kolek2.5512114113M. Nowalinski1.421091151LSep 11 · 09:45M. Miastowski1.3791112113M. Kolek2.701191081WSep 11 · 24:10J. Chmielowski1.831168121M. Kolek1.8381111143WSep 10 · 23:45M. Kolek2.381111113K. Kapik1.537570WSep 10 · 22:55M. Kolek2.10111176113J. Mitas1.6786111172LSep 10 · 21:00M. Kolek2.381110761M. Olbrycht1.5381211113WSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Kolek3.0088121162J. Kuzmicz1.361111108113WSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 11 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.381313113K. Wisniewski2.65111190WSep 11 · 09:20K. Staszczyk1.951071171K. Wisniewski1.7412119113WSep 11 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.2211118123B. Sulkowski3.756511101LSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113WSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891LSep 11 · 04:00D. Solilo2.60131015113K. Wisniewski1.4211121371WSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.70911811113K. Wisniewski1.9511511952LSep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.491111113K. Wisniewski2.348790WSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123
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