TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13111751
Played Sep 11Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161158111210––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1161158111210––
H2H Karol Wisniewski 4–2 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Wisniewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Wisniewski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1604 vs Sulkowski 1511
Wisniewski
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Sulkowski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Sulkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Wisniewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.22 / Sulkowski 3.75
Signal prob.80% / 21%
Edge (Wisniewski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13111751
Wisniewski1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 138 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 64 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it78% 101 of 129
Sulkowski3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 169 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwaySulkowski2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderWisniewski leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySulkowski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski2Sulkowski4n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
S2Wisniewski6Sulkowski0n = 6Wisniewski took 6 of 6
S3Wisniewski4Sulkowski2n = 6Wisniewski took 4 of 6
S4Wisniewski2Sulkowski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricWisniewskiSulkowskiW − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match39.234.3+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime989 / 2190 vs 553 / 124945.2%44.3%989 / 2190 vs 553 / 1249Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiWisniewski 1.22/Sulkowski 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.5%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 5 · 12:15K. Wisniewski—91111113B. Sulkowski—114551
WMay 28 · 05:20K. Wisniewski—511711113B. Sulkowski—11711672
LMay 25 · 03:05K. Wisniewski—61111682B. Sulkowski—119911113
WApr 30 · 03:30K. Wisniewski—1611113B. Sulkowski—14870
WApr 23 · 07:35K. Wisniewski—1111113B. Sulkowski—4560
LFeb 16 · 04:55K. Wisniewski—9113121B. Sulkowski—11811143
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 11 · 06:25K. Wisniewski1.749470D. Kosmal1.901111113WSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891LSep 11 · 04:00D. Solilo2.60131015113K. Wisniewski1.4211121371WSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LSep 10 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz1.70911811113K. Wisniewski1.9511511952LSep 10 · 13:25J. Kuzmicz1.491111113K. Wisniewski2.348790WSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123LSep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.391111133K. Wisniewski2.6594110WSep 10 · 09:00F. Krcil2.00109141262K. Wisniewski1.7012111210113WSep 9 · 14:15J. Braun1.3586100K. Wisniewski2.801111123
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 06:50D. Solilo1.8559100B. Sulkowski1.801111123LSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123WSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113WSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4513711113D. Solilo1.491111991WSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113WSep 10 · 11:50M. Misiak1.808960B. Sulkowski1.901111113LSep 10 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.0091351192B. Czerwinski1.701111117113LSep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.257111171P. Blocho1.5411136113LSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113
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