TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110059
Played Sep 11Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113119711115411
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
3.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1113119711115411
H2H Dawid Kosmal 10–4 Bartosz Sulkowski Bartosz Sulkowski has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Kosmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Kosmal
Wrong
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1668 vs Sulkowski 1499
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 80% vs Sulkowski 60%
Kosmal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -1 · Sulkowski +3
Sulkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.30 / Sulkowski 3.10
Signal prob.75% / 26%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13110059
Kosmal1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 167 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it96% 90 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it83% 136 of 164
Sulkowski3.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 164 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal7wins
AwaySulkowski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal100%4 of 4
AwaySulkowski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Kosmal7Sulkowski3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S3Kosmal7Sulkowski3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S4Kosmal6Sulkowski2n = 8Kosmal took 6 of 8
S5Kosmal2Sulkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalSulkowskiK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.835.9+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 657 vs 551 / 124554.6%44.3%359 / 657 vs 551 / 1245Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.30/Sulkowski 3.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.5%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal—111171142B. Sulkowski—139115113
WSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal—163118113B. Sulkowski—141141172
WJul 15 · 09:50D. Kosmal—111111113B. Sulkowski—134961
WJun 24 · 09:50D. Kosmal—1111113B. Sulkowski—7460
WMay 25 · 09:25D. Kosmal—613811113B. Sulkowski—111111572
LMay 12 · 12:15D. Kosmal—711911102B. Sulkowski—117117123
WApr 22 · 14:40D. Kosmal—1411113B. Sulkowski—12880
WApr 21 · 13:05D. Kosmal—111111113B. Sulkowski—132481
LMar 25 · 20:20D. Kosmal—571181B. Sulkowski—11117113
WMar 18 · 17:55D. Kosmal—11711113B. Sulkowski—611451
D. Kosmal10
LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113WSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123WSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870WSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4513711113D. Solilo1.491111991WSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113WSep 10 · 11:50M. Misiak1.808960B. Sulkowski1.901111113LSep 10 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.0091351192B. Czerwinski1.701111117113LSep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.257111171P. Blocho1.5411136113LSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113WSep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.0013135113F. Krcil1.7111111161WSep 10 · 05:30B. Sulkowski1.851211113R. Stapor1.8510490LSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.2511118113P. Blocho1.54671191
Upcoming Matches
D. Kosmal
Sep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.28B. Mleczko3.15—Sep 11 · 05:35D. Kosmal1.41D. Solilo2.60—Sep 11 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.90K. Wisniewski1.74—Sep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.26A. Linek3.25—Sep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75M. Nowalinski1.36—Sep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.88K. Staszczyk1.76—Sep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.95M. Miastowski1.31—Sep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.56M. Kolek2.18—Sep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96K. Wisniewski1.69—
B. Sulkowski
Sep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91A. Linek1.80—Sep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski2.03B. Mleczko1.65—Sep 11 · 06:50B. Sulkowski2.42D. Solilo1.46—Sep 11 · 07:40B. Sulkowski3.85K. Wisniewski1.19—Sep 11 · 09:00B. Sulkowski2.46B. Czerwinski1.44—Sep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.95R. Stapor1.70—Sep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.92M. Misiak1.73—Sep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski2.03B. Mleczko1.65—Sep 11 · 14:40B. Sulkowski1.85M. Zagajewski1.79—
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