TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107611
Played Sep 10Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111214411––––
Maksymilian Miastowski
Away
1.31
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
9111214411––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 0–3 Maksymilian Miastowski Dawid Kosmal has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:34What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (70%)
Miastowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Miastowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1695 vs Miastowski 1784
Miastowski
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 80% vs Miastowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 90% vs Miastowski 60%
Kosmal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +1 · Miastowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Miastowski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 3.00 / Miastowski 1.31
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Miastowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13107611
Kosmal3.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 59 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Miastowski1.31
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 116 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 75 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosmal0wins
AwayMiastowski3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMiastowski leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal2Miastowski1n = 3Kosmal took 2 of 3
S2Kosmal1Miastowski2n = 3Miastowski took 2 of 3
S3Kosmal0Miastowski3n = 3Miastowski took 3 of 3
S4Kosmal1Miastowski2n = 3Miastowski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosmalMiastowskiK − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.746.3−12.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalMiastowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 656 vs 573 / 110854.7%51.7%359 / 656 vs 573 / 1108Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiKosmal 3.00/Miastowski 1.31
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.4%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Miastowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 10 · 05:15D. Kosmal—12581252M. Miastowski—10111110113
LMay 12 · 17:25D. Kosmal—116731M. Miastowski—91111113
LMar 11 · 19:15D. Kosmal—4126101M. Miastowski—111011123
D. Kosmal10
WSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123WSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870WSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:00D. Kosmal1.251111113R. Stapor3.354690WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113
M. Miastowski10
WSep 10 · 13:00F. Krcil2.323760M. Miastowski1.491111113LSep 10 · 12:10M. Miastowski1.7511714962J. Kuzmicz1.909111211113WSep 10 · 10:30M. Miastowski1.391111133K. Wisniewski2.6594110WSep 10 · 09:45G. Poliniewicz2.50871151M. Miastowski1.4611114113WSep 10 · 08:10M. Miastowski2.5011811143G. Felkel1.502119121WSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko2.00911671M. Miastowski1.7311611113LSep 10 · 05:50A. Grela1.8311114113M. Miastowski1.83291161LSep 10 · 04:40M. Miastowski1.8311211962D. Michna1.83711811113LSep 10 · 03:40M. Miastowski2.10881181M. Jadczyk1.6711112113WAug 30 · 14:35M. Nowalinski1.83511713112M. Miastowski1.831141111133
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