TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107284
Played Sep 10Finished
Mateusz Misiak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911611––––
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
811911611––––
H2H Mateusz Misiak 16–22 Bartosz Sulkowski Mateusz Misiak has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Misiak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-22 in 38
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Misiak 1370 vs Sulkowski 1440
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Misiak 60% vs Sulkowski 40%
Misiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Misiak 50% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Misiak -1 · Sulkowski -3
Sulkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMisiak 1.80 / Sulkowski 1.90
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulkowski)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13107284
Misiak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 218 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it96% 133 of 138
Up 1–0, closes it81% 178 of 221
Sulkowski1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 164 of 510
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMisiak5wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMisiak100%4 of 4
AwaySulkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Misiak4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Misiak3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Misiak5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Misiak5Sulkowski4n = 9Misiak took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMisiakSulkowskiM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.3−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMisiakSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1051 / 1978 vs 548 / 124253.1%44.1%1051 / 1978 vs 548 / 1242Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiMisiak 1.80/Sulkowski 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 21:30M. Misiak—4117101B. Sulkowski—11611123
WAug 22 · 17:45M. Misiak—117713113B. Sulkowski—511111172
WAug 21 · 04:30M. Misiak—13117133B. Sulkowski—11811111
LAug 7 · 09:00M. Misiak—751141B. Sulkowski—11115113
LJul 2 · 06:55M. Misiak—10450B. Sulkowski—1211113
WJul 2 · 04:30M. Misiak—891111113B. Sulkowski—11118572
LJun 27 · 06:25M. Misiak—1291171B. Sulkowski—14117113
WJun 27 · 04:00M. Misiak—151112113B. Sulkowski—1391471
LJun 26 · 12:40M. Misiak—251181B. Sulkowski—11118113
WJun 19 · 12:40M. Misiak—12711113B. Sulkowski—1011781
M. Misiak10
LSep 10 · 10:10M. Misiak1.9011860A. Linek1.741311113WSep 10 · 09:00M. Misiak2.4151111113D. Solilo1.46114681WSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski2.75114581M. Misiak1.4071111113LSep 10 · 07:10K. Klocek2.101611123M. Misiak1.60146100WSep 10 · 06:30M. Misiak1.77131111113K. Sulkowski1.95156781WSep 10 · 04:30M. Misiak1.511212113D. Wrobel2.29101020LSep 10 · 03:45J. Glanowski1.9011118113M. Misiak1.80791171LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 10 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.0091351192B. Czerwinski1.701111117113LSep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.257111171P. Blocho1.5411136113LSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113WSep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.0013135113F. Krcil1.7111111161WSep 10 · 05:30B. Sulkowski1.851211113R. Stapor1.8510490LSep 10 · 04:00D. Kosmal1.30163118113B. Sulkowski3.10141141172WSep 10 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.2511118113P. Blocho1.54671191LSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.45851131D. Solilo1.4511118113LSep 9 · 06:25B. Sulkowski2.206870P. Blocho1.571111113WSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661
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