TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110999
Played Sep 11Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911119511611
Bartlomiej Mleczko
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
117911119511611
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 5–6 Bartlomiej Mleczko Bartosz Sulkowski has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Mleczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1490 vs Mleczko 1480
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Mleczko 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Mleczko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Mleczko -3
Mleczko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mleczko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mleczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.93 / Mleczko 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mleczko)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13110999
Sulkowski1.93
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 169 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 140
Mleczko1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 110 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayMleczko5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMleczko50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski2Mleczko8n = 10Mleczko took 8 of 10
S2Sulkowski7Mleczko3n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Sulkowski4Mleczko6n = 10Mleczko took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski5Mleczko4n = 9Sulkowski took 5 of 9
S5Sulkowski4Mleczko2n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiMleczkoS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.541.4+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 1248 vs 426 / 81444.2%52.3%552 / 1248 vs 426 / 814Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MleczkoSulkowski 1.93/Mleczko 1.78
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mleczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mleczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski—11911562B. Mleczko—711911113
LAug 22 · 23:20B. Sulkowski—741161B. Mleczko—11116113
WAug 22 · 20:30B. Sulkowski—1112511113B. Mleczko—131011682
LAug 14 · 14:40B. Sulkowski—7111191B. Mleczko—11137113
WAug 6 · 04:30B. Sulkowski—911811113B. Mleczko—11511692
LJun 3 · 11:25B. Sulkowski—7111081B. Mleczko—11512113
WJun 3 · 04:55B. Sulkowski—811811113B. Mleczko—11411672
LJun 2 · 07:45B. Sulkowski—81161142B. Mleczko—119117113
WMay 16 · 15:30B. Sulkowski—911711113B. Mleczko—11711972
WApr 12 · 13:10B. Sulkowski—1111113B. Mleczko—5890
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 06:50D. Solilo1.8559100B. Sulkowski1.801111123LSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123WSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113WSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4513711113D. Solilo1.491111991WSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113WSep 10 · 11:50M. Misiak1.808960B. Sulkowski1.901111113LSep 10 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.0091351192B. Czerwinski1.701111117113LSep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.257111171P. Blocho1.5411136113LSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113WSep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.0013135113F. Krcil1.7111111161
B. Mleczko10
LSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113LAug 31 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.4511711113B. Mleczko1.49911581WAug 31 · 06:05B. Mleczko1.291111113M. Lukaszewski3.156680
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
B. Mleczko
Sep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.83A. Linek1.86—Sep 11 · 08:30B. Mleczko2.18D. Solilo1.56—Sep 11 · 09:50B. Mleczko1.74M. Misiak1.95—Sep 11 · 10:35B. Mleczko2.25B. Czerwinski1.54—Sep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.69M. Zagajewski1.96—Sep 11 · 13:05B. Mleczko1.65B. Sulkowski2.03—Sep 11 · 13:55B. Mleczko1.73R. Stapor1.92—
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