TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110776
Played Sep 11Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111671112101012
Adam Linek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:44 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
81111671112101012
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 20–17 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 16h before this match
Sulkowski beat Linek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Linek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1515 vs Linek 1433
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Linek 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Linek 40%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +4 · Linek -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.91 / Linek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13110776
Sulkowski1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 169 of 518
Down 0–1, comes back17% 51 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 140
Linek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 106 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it84% 32 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it71% 74 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayLinek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski50%2 of 4
AwayLinek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski4Linek6n = 10Linek took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski6Linek4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski3Linek7n = 10Linek took 7 of 10
S4Sulkowski6Linek3n = 9Sulkowski took 6 of 9
S5Sulkowski2Linek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiLinekS − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.840.5+2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 1246 vs 778 / 167644.3%46.4%552 / 1246 vs 778 / 1676Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.91/Linek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 12:40B. Sulkowski—11411113A. Linek—711581
LSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski—81181292A. Linek—1171110113
WSep 7 · 24:35B. Sulkowski—111111113A. Linek—136681
LAug 25 · 04:55B. Sulkowski—1110891A. Linek—81211113
LAug 23 · 23:20B. Sulkowski—5990A. Linek—1111113
WAug 23 · 20:30B. Sulkowski—611912153A. Linek—1131110132
WAug 22 · 21:55B. Sulkowski—111310113A. Linek—6111251
WAug 14 · 13:30B. Sulkowski—11111110113A. Linek—13991242
LAug 9 · 24:35B. Sulkowski—1111951A. Linek—13711113
LJul 2 · 06:05B. Sulkowski—111091192A. Linek—712114113
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113WSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113WSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4513711113D. Solilo1.491111991WSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113WSep 10 · 11:50M. Misiak1.808960B. Sulkowski1.901111113LSep 10 · 11:00B. Sulkowski2.0091351192B. Czerwinski1.701111117113LSep 10 · 09:50B. Sulkowski2.257111171P. Blocho1.5411136113LSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113WSep 10 · 06:35B. Sulkowski2.0013135113F. Krcil1.7111111161WSep 10 · 05:30B. Sulkowski1.851211113R. Stapor1.8510490
A. Linek10
LSep 11 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.4211711113A. Linek2.60911891LSep 11 · 03:00D. Solilo1.6591111113A. Linek2.05119861LSep 10 · 13:55A. Linek2.07127861P. Blocho1.62101111113LSep 10 · 12:40A. Linek1.95711581B. Sulkowski1.7511411113LSep 10 · 11:25A. Linek2.331014113102D. Solilo1.491212511123WSep 10 · 10:10M. Misiak1.9011860A. Linek1.741311113WSep 10 · 09:25A. Linek2.3211812133B. Czerwinski1.4971110111WSep 10 · 07:40B. Sulkowski1.8081181292A. Linek1.851171110113LSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770LSep 10 · 06:15A. Linek2.073790P. Blocho1.621111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Sulkowski
Sep 11 · 06:50B. Sulkowski2.42D. Solilo1.46—Sep 11 · 07:40B. Sulkowski3.85K. Wisniewski1.19—Sep 11 · 09:00B. Sulkowski2.46B. Czerwinski1.44—Sep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.95R. Stapor1.70—Sep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.92M. Misiak1.73—Sep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski2.03B. Mleczko1.65—Sep 11 · 14:40B. Sulkowski1.85M. Zagajewski1.79—
A. Linek
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