Dawid Kosmal vs Bartlomiej Mleczko 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110678

Played Sep 11Finished

Dawid Kosmal

Home

1.28

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1171210811118––

Bartlomiej Mleczko

Away

3.15

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%

Graded at full time

Dawid Kosmal to win

57.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

78 points played in total.

Set by set

1171210811118––

H2H Dawid Kosmal 4–2 Bartlomiej Mleczko Bartlomiej Mleczko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 4–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:13

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.28 (71%)

Kosmal

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-2 in 6

Kosmal

Correct

gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kosmal 1652 vs Mleczko 1475

Kosmal

Correct

both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kosmal 40% vs Mleczko 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kosmal 70% vs Mleczko 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kosmal -2 · Mleczko -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kosmal form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKosmal 1.28 / Mleczko 3.15

Signal prob.75% / 25%

Edge (Kosmal)+4.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13110678

Kosmal1.28

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite65% won 172 of 265

Up 2–0, closes it96% 92 of 96

Up 1–0, closes it83% 140 of 168

Mleczko3.15

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog42% won 54 of 129

Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 74

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeKosmal4wins

AwayMleczko2wins

1 of 6 to a deciderKosmal leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKosmal75%3 of 4

AwayMleczkon = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kosmal4Mleczko2n = 6Kosmal took 4 of 6

S2Kosmal3Mleczko3n = 6split evenly

S3Kosmal4Mleczko2n = 6Kosmal took 4 of 6

S4Kosmal4Mleczko1n = 5Kosmal took 4 of 5

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home117%

3–1Four sets, home350%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away117%

1–3Four sets, away117%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 6 meetings

MetricKosmalMleczkoK − MBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.835.3+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKosmalMleczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 658 vs 427 / 81654.6%52.3%359 / 658 vs 427 / 816Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kosmal

Kosmal 1.28/Mleczko 3.15

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

75.1%

Kosmal · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kosmal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

LAug 29 · 13:50D. Kosmal—511671B. Mleczko—11311113

WAug 29 · 08:30D. Kosmal—11517123B. Mleczko—81115101

WSep 21 · 10:20D. Kosmal—111011113B. Mleczko—812761

WAug 24 · 10:40D. Kosmal—1111143B. Mleczko—58120

WAug 9 · 20:35D. Kosmal—91111113B. Mleczko—115581

LJul 20 · 10:20D. Kosmal—11591182B. Mleczko—411118113

D. Kosmal10

LSep 11 · 05:35D. Solilo2.001111147113D. Kosmal1.7095161152 LSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113 LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113 WSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172 LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123 WSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113 WSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792 WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161 WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770 WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870

B. Mleczko10

LSep 11 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.241311113113B. Mleczko3.4015671172 LAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751 WAug 31 · 13:30B. Mleczko2.0091111123M. Minda1.701186101 LAug 31 · 12:15P. Blocho1.85111110113B. Mleczko1.85661271 WAug 31 · 11:00A. Sobel1.55611771B. Mleczko2.2411411113 WAug 31 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.5078111172B. Mleczko1.44111199113 WAug 31 · 07:40S. Wnek2.7014460B. Mleczko1.391611113 LAug 31 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.4511711113B. Mleczko1.49911581 WAug 31 · 06:05B. Mleczko1.291111113M. Lukaszewski3.156680 WAug 31 · 04:30B. Mleczko1.95871111123P. Blocho1.70111117102

Upcoming Matches

D. Kosmal

Sep 11 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.90K. Wisniewski1.74—Sep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.26A. Linek3.25—Sep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75M. Nowalinski1.36—Sep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.90K. Staszczyk1.80—Sep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.95M. Miastowski1.31—Sep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.56M. Kolek2.18—Sep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96K. Wisniewski1.69—

B. Mleczko

Sep 11 · 06:00B. Mleczko1.78B. Sulkowski1.93—Sep 11 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.83A. Linek1.86—Sep 11 · 08:30B. Mleczko2.18D. Solilo1.56—Sep 11 · 09:50B. Mleczko1.74M. Misiak1.95—Sep 11 · 10:35B. Mleczko2.25B. Czerwinski1.54—Sep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.69M. Zagajewski1.96—Sep 11 · 13:05B. Mleczko1.65B. Sulkowski2.03—Sep 11 · 13:55B. Mleczko1.73R. Stapor1.92—

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.