TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110769
Played Sep 11Finished
Dominik Solilo
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191151416711115
Dawid Kosmal
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
1191151416711115
H2H Dominik Solilo 4–2 Dawid Kosmal Dawid Kosmal has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Kosmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Solilo
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1669 vs Kosmal 1658
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 80% vs Kosmal 40%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 80% vs Kosmal 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo +2 · Kosmal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 2.00 / Kosmal 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosmal)-0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13110769
Solilo2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 74 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Kosmal1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it96% 92 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it83% 140 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSolilo4wins
AwayKosmal2wins
Solilo leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolilo100%4 of 4
AwayKosmaln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solilo4Kosmal2n = 6Solilo took 4 of 6
S2Solilo4Kosmal2n = 6Solilo took 4 of 6
S3Solilo1Kosmal5n = 6Kosmal took 5 of 6
S4Solilo4Kosmal1n = 5Solilo took 4 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSoliloKosmalS − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match36.336.2+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 468 vs 360 / 65947%54.6%220 / 468 vs 360 / 659Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalSolilo 2.00/Kosmal 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 29 · 12:35D. Solilo—11118113D. Kosmal—961181
LAug 5 · 03:00D. Solilo—54100D. Kosmal—1111123
LAug 4 · 04:25D. Solilo—712971D. Kosmal—111011113
WJul 15 · 10:35D. Solilo—11411113D. Kosmal—711841
WMay 3 · 12:10D. Solilo—13126113D. Kosmal—11101191
WMay 2 · 09:45D. Solilo—14118113D. Kosmal—1271151
D. Solilo10
WSep 11 · 04:00D. Solilo2.60131015113K. Wisniewski1.4211121371WSep 11 · 03:00D. Solilo1.6591111113A. Linek2.05119861LSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4513711113D. Solilo1.491111991WSep 10 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.9011118762D. Solilo1.76591111113WSep 10 · 11:25A. Linek2.331014113102D. Solilo1.491212511123WSep 10 · 10:35P. Blocho2.061177101D. Solilo1.6371111123LSep 10 · 09:00M. Misiak2.4151111113D. Solilo1.46114681WSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.45851131D. Solilo1.4511118113WSep 9 · 06:50M. Minda1.90911291D. Solilo1.8011911113WSep 9 · 06:00D. Solilo1.8581111113B. Czerwinski1.85115861
D. Kosmal10
WSep 11 · 04:50D. Kosmal1.2811128113B. Mleczko3.157101181LSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113LSep 10 · 13:50D. Kosmal3.0091240M. Miastowski1.311114113WSep 10 · 12:35D. Kosmal2.17912116113G. Poliniewicz1.56111081172LSep 10 · 11:20D. Kosmal1.9581111101K. Wisniewski1.7511133123WSep 10 · 10:05F. Krcil2.28114111052D. Kosmal1.51311812113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Kosmal2.601111811113J. Kuzmicz1.4191311792WSep 10 · 08:30D. Kosmal1.3411513113P. Blocho2.809111161WSep 10 · 06:55D. Kosmal1.261111113A. Linek3.258770WSep 10 · 05:55D. Kosmal1.551211113F. Krcil2.2010870
Upcoming Matches
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D. Kosmal
Sep 11 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.90K. Wisniewski1.74—Sep 11 · 08:05D. Kosmal1.26A. Linek3.25—Sep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75M. Nowalinski1.36—Sep 11 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.90K. Staszczyk1.80—Sep 11 · 11:45D. Kosmal2.95M. Miastowski1.31—Sep 11 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.56M. Kolek2.18—Sep 11 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.96K. Wisniewski1.69—
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